Are the Pundits Palin's Real Parents?

by: GlennWSmith

Sun Sep 07, 2008 at 23:19


When John McCain announced Sarah Palin my first thought is my best thought:  if we don't win the battle over her unacceptability we will lose the election.

Now, this thought does not come naturally to me, because I worked for the late U.S. Senator and Treasury Secretary Lloyd Bentsen when he was the Democratic counterpart to Dan Quayle in 1988. That match-up was, in terms of experience and gravitas, no contest. But after Dukakis put on a funny helmet, climbed in a tank, refused to shout down Bernie Shaw's question about the hypothetical rape and murder of Dukakis wife, well, the VP candidates weren't even much of an afterthought to voters. And that remains the conventional wisdom

But I don't think the conventional wisdom will hold this year, and not because of some magical Palin quality. She helped give McCain a convention bump, but it had nothing to do with her and everything to do with network and cable pundits who declared her a "game changer" and star before she'd hiked out of the tundra. Voters heard a lot more about her and about McCain's maverickness from the media than they heard from McCain or Palin. The convention bump is the consequence of media whoring. Nothing more. Palin's got talent, but she's all the more dangerous because she's a child of the pundits.

For all the silly talk of births and babies, the paternity and maternity we should be concerned about is the pundit's very own new love child.

More on what to do below.

GlennWSmith :: Are the Pundits Palin's Real Parents?
So I'm talking to a good number of friends and consultants around the country, and I'm reading the views of respected bloggers and activists, and, well, everyone has a good point.

One side says too much about Palin distracts from McSame and our awful economic, social, ethical and political circumstances. The other says we can't overdo the attention on Palin, because when she implodes, McCain's judgment implodes with her, and besides, she's going to bring over just enough votes in certain swing states that she matters, even if she's wounded with the larger American public.

As some here have noted, we can and should do both. I actually think Obama and Biden have done a good job staying on message, though both need to sharpen it up. They're too damn thoughtful and cool. A little outrage and a few sharp rhetorical knives would make all of our lives -- and theirs -- a lot easier.

I also expect Palin to drop a little in public opinion the next couple of weeks. Have you seen the grocery store gossip magazines, magazines purchased and read in overwhelming numbers by white women of modest incomes, married and unmarried, with some or no college? I know this because I looked up their advertising demographics. And this is a demographic everyone says is critical in 2008.

I can't believe it's a good thing for McCain and Palin that she's been turned into a gossip's dream. "Babies, Lies & Scandal," screams the cover of US Weekly. "Sarah Palin's Dark Secrets," says the National Enquirer. "Sarah Palin's Family Drama," shouts People magazine.

People might talk endlessly about Britney Spears or Tom Cruise. But they don't, I don't think, want them leading their nation.

We can't discount and simply overlook the odd Addams Family aura that surrounds Palin. This ickiness will be gossiped about in school lounges, kid ball parks, around water coolers, at the barbershops and hairdressers. The tabloids will do most of this work for us. But, I'm just saying...

The outrageous lies about her attitude toward taxpayer money (spend all she can hope her DC lobbyists can get, then lie about it), her abuses of office for personal vendettas, her extremist policy views on women's health and almost every other issue, her total lack of experience, all these things deserve our daily attention. We can't let up.

And it's all the more important that we don't because the national media, accused of being hard on her, have taken that as an accusation of child abuse. She is totally their baby. And they are hugging and kissing her in public to prove their loving kindness. We let this go at our peril.

Biden should carry the attack. And he should be forceful. We should be there with him. Obama should focus exclusively on McCain.

Back in 2004 I wrote a book and created a national organization attacking Bush's military record. We raised some good money, put up some ads in swing states. CBS kinda screwed the pooch on this answer to the Kerry swift boating. But what was most disturbing to me was the lack of support we got from some progressive quarters. Air America, for instance, wouldn't promote the work because they wanted to focus on issues. I'm not making that up. They forgot we could do more than one thing at the same time

We make a mistake when we forget we can and must do several things at once. This is one of those times. If we fail at any of them -- making Palin unacceptable, making McCain Bush III, advancing our own character and solutions to our nation's sad circumstances -- we won't win.

So, I've got friends on both sides of the Palin argument. And I'm with my friends on this one.  


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Thanks (4.00 / 2)
I'd give you a 4, but that seems radically unseemly....

[ Parent ]
Did it for you. (0.00 / 0)
Mind spilling a little more about those magazine demographics?

John McCain thinks we haven't spent enough time in Iraq

[ Parent ]
The Tabloids (4.00 / 2)
Here are links to their advertising demographics.

US Weekly Demographics:  US Weekly Demographics.

People: People Magazine

National Enquirer: National Enquirer

And you can find cool research on the 2008 election cycle and the importance of women of modest income and education to this election here:

Women's Voices, Women Vote

This parallel is quite remarkable really. And it makes me certain that McCain did absolutely no vetting of Palin whatsoever. I notice already in some national polls that she did better with men than women, and that's probably an encouraging sign for us moving forward. If it holds.

And like I said, she could take off and be another Reagan unless we ground her.


[ Parent ]
Thanks. (0.00 / 0)
Very interesting data.

John McCain thinks we haven't spent enough time in Iraq

[ Parent ]
I thought so, too. (0.00 / 0)
Spread it around. I think we'll see the results of the tabloid narratives in polls by next week. Though I have to admit, I haven't had access to any micro-targeting data which would tell me how many of the tabloid readers are likely voters and so would show up in polling.

[ Parent ]
That would be the key. (0.00 / 0)
There's also the subtle effect on non-readers standing in the grocery check out line looking at all those magazine covers.

John McCain thinks we haven't spent enough time in Iraq

[ Parent ]
Walk & Chew Gum (4.00 / 1)
Boy do I hear you!

We make a mistake when we forget we can and must do several things at once. This is one of those times. If we fail at any of them -- making Palin unacceptable, making McCain Bush III, advancing our own character and solutions to our nation's sad circumstances -- we won't win.

This was the whole point of my diary series, "The Political Duality of Rep And Dem".

My argument boiled down to this: Just as we have a sophisticated grasp of material reality, how complex systems work, with multiple, interacting, often circular causality, while Republicans have primative notions in which causality itself often plays no part, the roles are reversed when it comes to doing politics.  We just doggedly keep doing whatever it is we believe in doing, whether it works or not, and 10 times out of 9 rationalizing our failure, while they keep endlessly refining their multi-modal attack schemes.

Indeed, our political practice is so primative that we'd never get over 30% in any election, if it weren't for the fact that (a) we're right, that (b) people agree with us on the issues roughly 2/3rds of the time or more, and that (c) the Reps are stark raving mad.  

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


As high as 30 percent? (0.00 / 0)
I need to read your earlier pieces. I think we have talked and written before about this progressive/Democratic legacy, it's futile and almost infantile fondness for linearity and simple-minded rationality.

Multi-modal attack schemes, that's precisely the cause of our undoing.


[ Parent ]
Would You Believe 15% And An Undisclosed Location? (4.00 / 1)
Multi-modal attack schemes, that's precisely the cause of our undoing.

At least Media Matters has a pretty good handle on one aspect of this, which I blogged about in "Swiftboating 2.0 -- Media Matters Highlights Attacks To Come".  If you haven't seen what I'm talking about, click the link to my diary.  It's got a direct link, as well as providing an overview of their analysis.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
And we worry about distractions (0.00 / 0)
I did see you post and the Media Matters work.

You know, it makes clear something else I've tried to persuade campaigns to do. Careful analyses of attacks on a candidate can yield a good predictable picture of future attacks. They're developing character and theme. So what fits it? What doesn't.

What could have been more predictable than the attacks on Kerry's medals? The story the GOP was telling demanded they do that.


[ Parent ]
Plus (0.00 / 0)
They often (almost always?) seem to test-market their attacks.  So you can use the past patterns as a background, or template for tracking them as they do their test runs.

A really saavy campaign would respond to the test runs in ways that would mislead them, and then once they went large, counter-attack in a totally unexpected way.


"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
McSame and the faux starlet (0.00 / 0)
After all that I've read about which way to jump or which way to hunker down, I'm kind of relieved after having read your take, Glenn. It makes sense, and it seems obvious. Gum chewing and walking at the same time! If we can't do that well, how does anyone ever learn how to play the banjo, guitar or fiddle if we don't have enough dexterity to chew and walk? We can take out one cranky old McSame and one faux new born starlet all at the same time. I'm sure of it. But first, to be corny about it, we have to be confident enough to know we can do that.  

We do it all the time in our everyday lives (0.00 / 0)
Pundits and the consultant class also like to inflate the smarts it takes to do politics. It's not chess. Like I said somewhere else, it's more like dodgeball. Maybe dodgeball with rocks.

Anyway, what Paul above calls "multi-modal" is a natural part of our everyday interaction in the world. Negotiations and interactions of all kinds are quite often multi-modal.

A simple example:  we defend our child in the face of a teacher's criticism, but we see to at the same time that our child improves. See what I mean?


[ Parent ]
Actually, We Learn To Be Multimodal In Preschool (0.00 / 0)
if not earlier.  Any time you're interacting with more than one other person, you're almost invariably being multimodal, albeit not necessarily in a way that's so easily delineated.

I was acutely conscious of this as a kid, growing up on a street where I was the only boy my own age.  The girls were much more competently multi-modal than the boys I knew at school--both socially and physically (double dutch and the like), and much more mulit-modal than me, though I benefitted some from playing with them.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
It's the ethics, stupid (4.00 / 4)
Er not calling anyone stupid....

....but what's going on with Troopergate is out and out conspiracy to commit obstruction of justice.  How did Todd Palin get confidential information about Wooten's divorce case?  Why was Monegan fired?  Why did his replacement Kopp get a $10K golden handshake?  And is there a pattern of Palin abusing her office to vindictively hunt down her personal enemies?

Then there are her ties, via the lobbying firm she used, to Abramoff.

What books did she try to get banned?

Why did she address the AIP conference this year, a political party her husband was in until she ran for political office?

And hell, let's talk about Palin's incompetent management that left a town of 8000 with $22M in debt, despite the oil wealth in Alaska.

Why the fuck isn't Biden hammering away at this stuff?


I agree with you 100 percent (4.00 / 3)
(So I can't be stupid)

(Right?)

Seriously, right on. And I have no idea why Biden's being so congenial. It never, ever, ever works.


[ Parent ]
Hillary (0.00 / 0)
I guessing (hoping?) Hillary will jump into this starting tomorrow.

Biden's too valuable to spend much of his time attacking his VP opponent, even though that is seem as the traditional VP candidate role. If McCain had made a more serious pick, I'd agree with the conventional wisdom. Best if Biden doesn't digify the Palin choice.

That goes double for Obama.

Obama and Biden can just keep hammering McCain for his stunt, and leave it at that.

Hillary's the one to get down-and-firty with Palin. Now that may seem sexist (and it probably is to us, but not to the real audience). Not only can Hillary plow Palin away on points, but she can keep reminding the ex-Hillary supporters that there is a huge difference between a [vice] president who happens to be a woman, and a woman who happens to be a [vice] president.


Hillary needs to be part of it (0.00 / 0)
And I think what she's already said reflects her great political instincts.

One caution, a thought I had after reading Maureen Dowd:  the real sexists out there will want to personalize Hillary's attacks, and we can't stand for that. We need to be with Hillary on this two.  


[ Parent ]
It Really SHOULDN'T Be Hillary (0.00 / 0)
That makes it waaaaay to easy to catfight it.

It should be everybody, all the time. God knows, there's enough documented, factual material to keep it up 24/7.  Just the job she did running Wisilla into the ground financially ought to be enough.  The earmarks she got, they ought to be enough.  Troopergate?  More than enough, three or four times over.  The AIP?  The list goes on and on.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Yes, it's Hillary and an army of Truth-Saints (0.00 / 0)
That's my fear, that the whole thing gets turned into a story of Hillary's ambition (again).

[ Parent ]
If it's Hillary, it makes Obama look foolish and weak (0.00 / 0)
Like he needed his tough big sister AFTER ALL to do his fighting for him. Dowd would have a field day with this and the rest of the bloviators would follow her lead. Tweety would devote entire weeks to it, and it would be the only thing everyone talks about. Which, I'm sure, is one of the main reasons that Palin was chosen and why they WANT Obama to do this. I assume that he's not going to fall for it. He's not a fool.

He DOES have to respond to Palin, but in a way that makes her look like an annoyance, not a real threat or worry. That will shift the focus of irritation back to the other side, where it needs to remain. Both McCain and Palin are thin-skinned, and can and must be played.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


[ Parent ]
It should be Pelosi. (0.00 / 0)

She's a mother of 5 as well. 



John McCain thinks we haven't spent enough time in Iraq

[ Parent ]
Spell-checked and edited slightlty (0.00 / 0)
[ Parent ]
My fear is that the typical tabloid-reading voter (0.00 / 0)
will actually sympathize with Palin and be more likely to vote for McCain BECAUSE of all these scandals. I mean, for the most part, who reads these trashy rags but bored people looking for cheap entertainment at the doctor's office, and less-educated, low-information, working and lower-middle class types whose lives aren't exactly where they'd like them to be, either. And they will both sympathize with Palin's troubles and be inspired by her scrappiness and life story and success. Kind of a dumb person's Hillary Clinton. Total BS, but so are these rags.

I'm guessing, though, that the majority of such types weren't likely to vote for Obama, anyway. Whether that's because he's black, or a Dem, I don't know. Probably both.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


Not So Much (0.00 / 0)
According to the link Glenn provided, US Weekly:

Age 18 to 34:  55%
Age 18 to 49: 88%
Age 25 to 49: 65%
Age 25 to 54: 70%
Median Age: 33.0

HHI $100,000+ : 32%
HHI $75,000+ : 48%
HHI $60,000+ : 60%
HHI $50,000+ : 67%
HHI $40,000+ : 75%
HHI $30,000+ : 82%
Median HHI : $72,035

Employed  :77%
Professional/
Managerial : 27%

Any College : 68%
Grad College+ : 29%
Attending
College  : 17%



"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Well, then I'm hoping that the higher you move up (0.00 / 0)
on the income and education levels, the more these people read it for cheap entertainment, and not as a bonding exercize. Then again, lots of high-income, well-educated Repubs, who probably know that their party's run by idiots, nutjobs and scum, but so long as they get to keep more of their taxes and their preferred stock holdings retain their value, they're ok with keeping them in office. I know such people. I'm sure that we all do.

Anyone who thinks that Palin is qualified to be president shouldn't be allowed to operate heavy machinery or perform surgery.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


[ Parent ]
Where's Hilary? (0.00 / 0)
I think all Democratic supporters would like to see Hilary Clinton take the lead in attacking Palin. A few stinging, challenging comments from Hilary should start it off (e.g. Sarah Palin? More bull than pit bull.)

Hilary has nothing to lose; Palin has everything to lose - if Palin responds, she's lowering her sights. If she doesn't, she's chicken.

The two Clintons may feel they have done enough for Obama. Yet, if Obama loses, Hilary still has Obama taking away her leadership of the Democrats in the Senate. Someone will be making a profile attacking Pesident McCain's (or President Palin's) screw-ups and opposing his/her judicial appointments, and Hilary may find it hard to wrestle for the limelight. If she wants to move upward and onward, she needs a Democratic victory.

Obama is meeting Bill Clinton in New York Thursday; maybe, something can  be worked out.

BTW, I disagree about Joe Biden. Joe Biden's job is have Obama's back, even at political cost to himself. He should be attacking Palin more frequently than attacking McCain.
Some of these attacks should include both.


Thanks.. an Article on what we need to do to win... (0.00 / 0)
..and not on wishful thinking.  Her extremest views must be highlighted at every opportunity.  Her predatory, exploitation philosphy: delist whiles, not list polar bears, drill in ANWR, not protect salmon streams, shoot wolves from planes.... just on the environmental front need to be front and center to middle america... then add preaching that "the War is God's work", creationism should be taught as a co-equal to evolution, anti-stem cell research, and some books should be banned in your local library...  all these points need to be repeated, over and over...

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