The Research 2000 poll for dKos released Sept. 11 shows Palin at 52% favorable, 35% unfavorable, a 17-point net positive. Over the next several days look at the trend:
Sept. 11: +17 point net positive
Sept. 12: +14 point
Sept. 13: +9
Sept. 14: +5
Palin's unfavorables are up to 42 while here favorables are down to 47. Her Charlie Gibson interview and generally bad press for the McCain-Palin ticket are taking a toll. Here are Barack Obama's net positives for the same four days: 16, 16, 14 and 15 today. Joe Biden: 19, 19, 18 and 16 today. As for McCain, a similar pattern to Palin only not as steep a decline: 11, 13, 12 and 9.
Not reflected in the numbers released today are the SNL lampooning last night and the Sunday political shows which, although I didn't watch, apparently went after Palin hard. Here are some reasons to keep the focus on Palin:
1. Keeping the press focused on Palin's gaffes and general inadequacy for the job prevents the McCain campaign from any positive news.
2. Any of the McCain bounce attributable to Palin will fade even quicker as the shine comes off Palin.
3. If Palin looks corrupt, unqualified, hypocritical and just generally bad, that automatically reflects on McCain and makes him look unprincipled and desperate. And as people start to realize how old he is it just makes it worse for them.
4. The more the focus is on her the more she looks like a female George Bush. This reinforces the main "story" the Obama campaign has been telling, McCain is Bush. Since some people may have doubted that given the 2000 Republican race, Palin helps clarify matters.
Tracking Poll Averages
Sept. 14: Obama, 46.0, McCain 46.25
Sept. 13: Obama 45.5, McCain 47.0
Sept. 12: Obama 45.75, McCain 46.75
Sept. 11: Obama 45.75, McCain 46.75
Sept. 10: Obama 45.3, McCain 46.7
Sept. 9: Obama 45.3, McCain 47.3
Sept. 8: Obama 45.0, McCain 47.0
Sept. 7: Obama 45.9, McCain 46.2
Sept. 6: Obama 47.1, McCain 44.1
Sept. 5: Obama 47.3, McCain 43.3