Just when you think the bump or bounce or whatever is over, the lead grows again. That's what makes me think it's not a bounce at all but leaners and undecided voters coalescing around the Democratic ticket. Here's what the tracking poll average (Gallup, Rasmussen, Hotline, R2Kos: see Quick Hits for links) shows for the last 10 days:
Today is the first time Barack Obama has reached or surpassed the 50-point mark, also. The lead is a record 8.25 points, also. McCain is also at his all-time low at 42 points, too.
As I "argued" yesterday, McCain's campaign has the look of a sinking ship. Many countered with caution. We've seen Obama take leads before and then give them up. And many of us bear the emotional scars of 2000 and 2004 and have been unwilling to get excited too early. But:
1. Gore or Kerry never had a lead like this. And certainly they never had a sustained and sizable lead like this.
2. It's October. The post-convention period is exactly when moves like this by one candidate or the other usually take place. Waffling voters are now choosing sides.
I'm not arguing that people should cease their hard work or their donating. Now is the time to go for the kill, so to speak. But I do think, with only a month left, it is time to start redirecting some effort/money to House, Senate and other local races before it is too late. With the rising Democratic tide there is an opportunity to win many races in addition to the Presidential one.