An Economics Lesson: Expansionary Economics

by: aaronsw

Wed Oct 08, 2008 at 08:29


There's a pervasive frame that when times get tough, we've got to tighten our belts. Just as families cut back on niceties like vacations in the Bahamas, the government needs to cut back on frills like Medicare and Social Security. But while this might make some sense for families (it depends), it's nonsense for the government.

The reason is simple. Like it or not, our economy works because of a constant flow of money -- when you buy vacations, money goes to the airlines, who use it to hire airport staff and buy planes, which means more people building airplanes, who means more people building airplane parts, which means more people building machine tools, and so on. There's a word for what happens when all these people cut back: a recession. The money dries up, suddenly folks find themselves out of a job, and everybody left has to take a paycut to "stay competitive".

Belt-tightening means pulling even more money out, which means even more jobless and weakened. The only way to get things moving again is if the government counteracts these trends by investing -- getting more money into the economy so that it starts bulking up instead of cutting back.

This is what we learned during the Great Depression -- Herbert Hoover's fiscal austerity did little, but FDR's Works Progress Administration got America going by paying folks to build public buildings, write books, distribute food, and so on. Many of their books and buildings can still be seen today.

This is why moderators' questions about "what will you cut back on in a recession?" are nonsense -- the real question is what will we expand with? Will we get the economy going again by creating thousands of new green jobs or starting a new Apollo Program to create clean energy instead of a man on the moon? Or, as John McCain proposes, will we give it all away in tax breaks to the wealthy? We need to know, because one thing is clear: we can't afford another Hoover.  

aaronsw :: An Economics Lesson: Expansionary Economics

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Except that we're 11 trillion in debt (0.00 / 0)
Usually interest rate cuts are used to stimulate business spending. As long as inflation pressures are low. But sadly we're borrowed a lot from the Chinese. So sometimes what happens in a recession is you have to let the market cool so that prices come down, in effect pumping up the dollar and reversing inflation pressures. If you can't spend your way out due to inflation risks, cut backs are not nonsense. Unless you want to raise taxes.

Too bad we wasted so much in Iraq, we could use that money about now.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare


Can we expand resource consumption? (0.00 / 0)
Or have we long-since passed the "peak" of extractive industries?

My contention is that this is not a liquidity-poor-capacity rich society like the Great Depression. The decline of our major export markets subsequent to Versailles left Americans in a pinch. We had to supplant European consumption of American goods with American consumption of American goods. We did this by handing out cash to Americans via make work jobs etc. This is what China has to do now, while we pay the roll of dying Europe.

We are a liquidity-rich capacity-poor society because ewe confuse economic activity with production; there is a big difference between manufacturing and high-tech and working as a prison guard or being a manager at McDonalds.

We need a tarrif, and we need to calculate corporate tax as the higher of

100% - Percent of American Workers on your pay roll

or

100% - Percent of your payroll paid to Americans.

A company that employs 100% Americans, and who's payroll is 100% American has a 0% tax.

A company that has 50% of its workforce overseas and 95% of its payroll goes to an American executive staff would pay a 50% tax.


Excellent post! (0.00 / 0)
Yes, increased infrastructure spending is the classic way out of a recession, as this diary points out.  Perhaps this is why Obama said that energy would be the top priority even in a recession - it would create jobs and stimulate the economy out of a recession.  Healthcare, even if subsidized, might still be an investment that would increase production.  Spending on "entitlements" that cannot be considered investments might be the one that needs to be cut - though if it goes to the needy, perhaps that stimulates productive economic activity as well?

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