John McCain Is Barack Obama's New Deal Mandate-Maker

by: David Sirota

Fri Oct 24, 2008 at 13:37


John McCain is doing what no progressive political leader has been able to do in at least a generation, if not more: He's creating a New Deal mandate for the next president, should that next president be Barack Obama. Indeed, in tacking to the hard economic right and focusing the presidential debate on "socialism" and "wealth redistribution," McCain is creating a very clear decision for our country: Either we reject his neo-Reaganism and the regressive redistribution machine that I describe in my new newspaper column this week. Or, we vote to preserve the regressive redistribution machine that has created the most economically unequal America since the Great Depression.

What's so weird is that in this economic drama, McCain - not Barack Obama - is really in the starring role.  

David Sirota :: John McCain Is Barack Obama's New Deal Mandate-Maker
That's because while Obama has offered up a progressive-though-moderate agenda slightly to the left of Clinton-ish neoliberalism, McCain has gone totally ideological. In doing that, he has polarized the argument and turned the election into a referendum on the economic Darwinism of the conservative movement - a Darwinism that, as my column shows, has built a machine that confiscates middle-class wealth and sends it up the income ladder.

McCain would have us believe that the choice is between either redistributing wealth, or not redistributing wealth - the assumption being that current policies do not redistribute wealth. But more and more Americans know that assumption is absurd, whether they know that because of data showing the middle-class tax burden increasing, reports showing most profitable corporations don't pay taxes, a financial bailout that gives away 5 percent of the economy to firms doling out $70 billion in executive bonuses, or just because they sense the whole plutocratic mess of it all.

And yet, because the personal attacks on Obama's heritage and history have fallen flat, McCain has opted to double-down on a McCarthy-ish throwback argument revolving around right-wing economics - thus making the crucial last few weeks of the campaign about whether America wants to continue this regressive redistribution, or stop it and instead embrace progressive redistribution. It is a choice Obama's consensus message avoided putting in such stark terms (which, as I examined in an earlier column, was probably a tactical necessity for an African American candidate in our racially stereotyping political arena). It is a choice that McCain has forced and that could create a much more powerfully progressive economic mandate than Obama ever dreamed of having as president, should he win.

In some senses, McCain's strange role has historical precedent. The raging anti-communist Richard Nixon went to communist China. Now the raging Reaganite John McCain is playing a key role in forging a progressive economic era.

Thanks to the Arizona's polarizing economic message, millions of Americans will now walk into that voting booth with a very crystal clear question in mind: Do we vote for the deregulatory, free-market fundamentalism of business tax cuts, corporate welfare and everyone-for-themselves health care policies that McCain says is needed right now? Or do we vote against that, and for something McCain insists is very, very different? Yes, many people will cast a ballot thinking they are making a choice between Reaganism and socialism. After all, the latest CBS/New York Times poll shows Americans already see the race in these terms. And therefore, if Obama wins, it will be a huge rejection of Reaganism, a huge declaration that demonizing the Left with the argot of Soviet communism no longer works, and a huge endorsement of 21st century progressive economics, only years (or really, months!) removed from an era where if you even uttered the word "inequality," you were billed as a communist and written out of the debate by the media and political Establishment.

Of course, Obama's campaign platform is much less radical than McCain is claiming. Barack Obama is a lot of things, but he's hardly a socialist. That said, if you reject the myth of presidentialism that says presidents hand down change, and you instead believe that presidents are forced by election mandates to embrace changes they may not otherwise have embraced, then Obama's platform is not as important as the mandate McCain's presentation is constructing, should Obama win under these circumstances. McCain is framing the choice as one between a Republican presidency to the right of Ronald Reagan on economics or a Democratic presidency to the left of Franklin Roosevelt on economics - and if Obama wins, he will have as powerful an economic mandate as FDR received in the 1932 landslide election, because the voting public will be expecting - no, demanding - far-reaching economic change.

If these trends continue - if McCain continues to demonize "socialism" and if polls are accurate in predicting a big win for Obama - then progressives will have a lot to thank McCain for. The intense economic mandate his message is helping to construct would be far more his creation than Obama's, because Obama has shied away from portraying the choice in such stark "redistribution" language. It would also be far more McCain's creation than the Democratic Party's - in fact, considering votes for the bailout and the careful dancing around free trade deals, the mandate would in many ways come in spite of Democratic Party leadership.

Oh sure, there will be Establishment pontificators from Newsweek's John Meacham to the Washington Post's David Broder warning a President Obama that, despite the crystal clear rejection of Reaganism in a Democratic victory, America is still to the right of Reagan. Money, power and status quo will always speak for money, power and the status quo. And had McCain made his central public argument (rather than merely his robo-call argument) in the final weeks of the campaign a Swift Boat-style personal/cultural attacks, an Obama victory would merely have been a rejection of those tactics, rather than a larger economic mandate.

But with McCain's economic message now taking center stage, the evidence of an economic mandate will be overwhelming, both in the public opinion data about where America is on economic issues, and in the way this national election is being framed.  At a time Republicans' central argument is to attack Democrats as socialists, it is intellectually dishonest to argue that a national Democratic victory would be anything other than a wholesale rejection of conservative economic doctrine and an embrace of an aggressively progressive economic agenda.

You can read the full newspaper column here.  

The column relies on grassroots support, so if you'd like to see my column regularly in your local paper, use this directory to find the contact info for your local editorial page editors. Get get in touch with them and point them to my Creators Syndicate site. Thanks, as always, for your ongoing readership and help contacting local editors. This column couldn't be what it is without your help.    


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yeah -- and he is giving socialism a good name in the process... (4.00 / 2)
which i'm all for, incidentally.  

Yes! If Adam Smith is a socialist, it's not so scary anymore. (4.00 / 3)
Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations:
The necessaries of life occasion the great expense of the poor. They find it difficult to get food, and the greater part of their little revenue is spent in getting it. The luxuries and vanities of life occasion the principal expense of the rich, and a magnificent house embellishes and sets off to the best advantage all the other luxuries and vanities which they possess. A tax upon house-rents, therefore, would in general fall heaviest upon the rich; and in this sort of inequality there would not, perhaps, be anything very unreasonable. It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.


[ Parent ]
Silver points out poll numbers (4.00 / 1)
Which reinforce exactly what you say -- poll respondents overwhlemingly think McCain's policies favor the rich; for Obama, they pick "middle class," the "poor" or "treat all the same."  This is a very big opportunity.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com...



New Jersey politics at Blue Jersey.


I agree with every word of this post (0.00 / 0)
nothing else to say except well-done

Same here (0.00 / 0)
I just hope that once Obama wins he will be aware of that fact.  

[ Parent ]
I hope (0.00 / 0)
Obama sees the opportunity and seizes it. He can't go slowly or care about deficits or listen to the pundits who will be talking about the need for caution and consensus. He needs to claim a mandate for sweeping change: health care, energy, and a spending program to stimulate the economy. Personally, I favor a massive program to rebuild our infrastructure.

Rick Perlstein has a must-read piece on the need to come out like gangbusters.

Progressive political change in American history is rarely incremental. With important exceptions, most of the reforms that have advanced our nation's status as a modern, liberalizing social democracy were pushed through during narrow windows of progressive opportunity -- which subsequently slammed shut with the work not yet complete. The post-Civil War reconstruction of the apartheid South, the Progressive Era remaking of the institutions of democratic deliberation, the New Deal, the Great Society: They were all blunt shocks. Then, before reformers knew what had happened, the seemingly sturdy reform mandate faded and Washington returned to its habits of stasis and reaction.

The Oval Office's most effective inhabitants have always understood this. Franklin D. Roosevelt hurled down executive orders and legislative proposals like thunderbolts during his First Hundred Days, hardly slowing down for another four years before his window slammed shut; Lyndon Johnson, aided by John F. Kennedy's martyrdom and the landslide of 1964, legislated at such a breakneck pace his aides were in awe. Both presidents understood that there are too many choke points -- our minority-enabling constitutional system, our national tendency toward individualism, and our concentration of vested interests -- to make change possible any other way.

That is a fact. A fact too many Democrats have trained themselves to ignore. And it sometimes feels like Barack Obama, whose first instinct when faced with ideological resistance seems to be to extend the right hand of fellowship, understands it least of all. Does he grasp that unless all the monuments of lasting, structural change in the American state -- banking regulation, public-power generation, Social Security, the minimum wage, the right to join a union, federal funding of education, Medicare, desegregation, Southern voting rights -- had happened fast, they wouldn't have happened at all?

I hope so. Because if Barack Obama is elected president with a significant popular mandate, a number of Democrats riding his coattails to the House, and enough senators to scuttle the filibuster of his legislative agenda -- all of which seem entirely possible -- he will inherit a historical opportunity to civilize the United States in ways not seen in a generation. To achieve the change he seeks -- the monumental trio of universal health care, a sustainable energy policy, and a sane and secure internationalism -- he has to completely reverse the way Democrats have habituated themselves to doing business. If they want true progress, they have to be juggernauts. American precedent gives them no other way.

http://www.prospect.org/cs/art...


A New "New Deal" (0.00 / 0)
The public has repeatedly heard commentators say this is the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.  The public expects the Government to step in and solve the problem just like FDR did during the 1930s.  They are expecting a "New Deal" even if no one has announced it.  

McCain's rant about socialism, redistributing the wealth, "unfair" progressive tax rates and the capital gains tax are ludicrous under the circumstances.  But it's an indication of how truly out of touch McCain is with the economic realities facing average Americans.  He is repeating the same ideology that Republicans have been spouting since the 1920s.  During the 1930s, Republicans were enraged by the programs instituted by FDR, and they spent the next 70 years trying to dismantle all the programs of the New Deal.  Just when they thought they had succeeded, their ideology brought about they same economic collapse.  Another financial crisis and a coming Depression.  This line of thinking was stupid then and it's stupid now.  We should thank John McCain for helping to usher in a new "New Deal."


Great post (0.00 / 0)
David, this is an excellent post.  (It's what I've been saying and thinking all week, and you do a great job explaining what a service McCain is doing progressives with his absurd over-reaching - caling anything that government does to regulate the economy "socialism" is doing wonders for crippling the power of the "socialist" epithet.)  One point I disagree with, though, is your "myth of presidentialism" point.  It seems dramatically overstated.  Al Gore and George Bush would likely have done very different things in office - ditto George Bush and John Kerry, etc.  The external political and economic environment imposes some constrainst on what Presidents will or won't do, but an individual President's ideology and preferences are still massively important.  (Massive US public opposition to the US staying in Iraq hasn't stopped it, mainly because Bush-Cheney want us there.  The bailout passed even though it was hated, because of the preferences of those people in power.)  

It seems to me that a lot now relies on Obama - he will have a mandate for sweeping, progressive change if he wants it.  While I see him in a significantly more positive light than some posters on this site,  we simply don't know yet how much he will roll with this could-be mandate, or how much he will resist it and gravitate toward the center.  Obamanomics could end up looking a lot like Clintonomics, or a lot like another New Deal - either option seems quite possible - and since Obama and the Dems in Congress have 2-4 years before another election after this one, a lot depends on what they want/what they believe in, in addition to what they think will "sell" with voters, media commentators,  and campaign donors.

I heard McCain being interviewed on the radio this morning and he was asked why the bailout wasn't "socialism."  His response was, laughably, that the bailout was a response to a CRISIS!  He sounded angry, like he knew that he was saying that socialism was okay in a crisis and knew that his answer didn't cut it, but couldn't figue out anything better to say.  It's too bad Obama hasn't yet brought up the whole issue of whether public schools, fire departments, etc., ae "socialist" in McCains' worldview.


New Deal for McCain (0.00 / 0)
Government at local, state and federal levels regulates, manages or simply takes over the economy in a huge number of ways. Why are highways, the post office, police departments and food inspectors not routinely decried as socialism?

I believe that John McCain and his friends have long ago discovered a fourth branch of the federal government. These small government "libertarians" seem to think that any government economic action is acceptable if it serves to benefit business interests, particularly big business. When government action is proposed that directly benefits individuals as employees or consumers, it is decried as socialism

Many government actions ultimately benefit both business and individuals. The benefits either trickle down or they trickle up. Trickling up is defined as socialism.

Ronald Reagan got a lot of mileage with his ironic line "I'm from the government and I'm here to help you." The line does have a ring of truth to it. Any large human enterprise is going to have problems. The US effort in WWII, a great but hardly perfect operation, was the origin of the acronym SNAFU. That didn't make it any the less worthwhile.

After thirty or forty years of rolling back the manifest evils of democracy and its interference in the free market, I wonder if some of Reagan's humor couldn't be updated:

"I'm from the Mortgage Company and I'm here to help you."
"I'm from the Health Insurance Company and I'm here to help you."
"I'm from the Oil Company and I'm here to help you."
"I'm from the Outsourcing Company and I'm here to help you"
"I'm from the Importing Poison Food Company and I'm here to help you".

You get the idea.


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