More Quick Victories

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Nov 10, 2008 at 13:33


Back in July, I compiled a list of legislation that would have passed in the 110th Congress if Democrats held eight more seats in the Senate and 20 more seats in the House. Here is the list (more in the extended entry:
Chris Bowers :: More Quick Victories
Democratic trifecta legislation

  1. H.R. 1591, U.S. Troop Readiness, Veterans' Care, Katrina Recovery, and Iraq Accountability Appropriations Act, 2007. Withdrawing between 100,000 to 120,000 of the 160,000 American military troops in Iraq.
  2. Webb amendment to HR 1585: To specify minimum periods between deployment of units and members of the Armed Forces for Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom.
  3. Employee Free Choice Act of 2007. Making it easier to join a union.
  4. Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act. Another worker's right's bill.
  5. District of Columbia House Voting Rights Act : A bill to provide the District of Columbia a voting seat and the State of Utah an additional seat in the House of Representatives.
  6. Rush Holt's verified voting bill. A verified paper trail for every vote cast in America.
  7. Specter amendment to HR 1585: To restore habeas corpus for those detained by the United States.
  8. H.R. 976, Children's Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007. Expanding children's health care.
  9. Medicare Prescription Drug Price Negotiation Act : A bill to amend part D of title XVIII of the Social Security Act to provide for fair prescription drug prices for Medicare beneficiaries.
  10. Stem Cell Research Enhancement Act of 2007. Increasing stem cell research.
  11. Renewable Fuels, Consumer Protection, and Energy Efficiency Act. Increased investment in renewable energy.
  12. Harkin amendment to the Farm Bill. Not sure what this is, but it probably will pass when we get six more votes in the Senate.
  13. Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act. A centrist global warming bill that doesn't do much to stop global warming, from what I have heard.

On the House side, the mission has been accomplished, as the requisite number of seats have been acquired. On the Senate side, we currently stand at six pickups, with Alaska, Georgia and Minnesota still undecided.

A week after the election, the Senate remains surprisingly in flux, with Democratic pickups standing at anywhere from six to nine seats. Fortunately, with six pickups, we get everything on this list except the Employee Free Choice Act. As we are already seeing, expect just about the entire list to be passed swiftly, since the Democratic trifecta will be itching for early successes.

In order to get the Employee Free Choice Act, we need eight pickups in the Senate, which means two our of three of the undecided campaigns. The Georgia Senate campaign will be decided on December 2nd via run-off election, so our path to winning that seat is obvious. Without any third party candidates, and without the assistance of Obama's turnout machine, Democrat Jim Martin is definitely the underdog in the campaign. However, it is far from over, and you can help out here. The Alaska and Minnesota Senate campaigns will be decided via counting and re-counting, and both campaigns should probably be considered toss-ups at the moment (Nate Silver breaks down the numbers for Alaska and Minnesota). So, we can still get the Employee Free Choice Act, too, even if the odds don't favor us at the moment.


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8 for EFCA? (0.00 / 0)
I have seen the claim that we need 8 pick-ups in order to pass EFCA - but have never seen anyone explain why. Care to help me out?

Are the votes pretty much set in stone on this one?


I think with 6 pickups... (4.00 / 1)
we still have a good shot on EFCA. It's a lot harder for "moderate" republicans to stand in the way of popular legislation with only 2 votes needed, especially in blue states. Maine's two "moderate" senators would be under significant pressure. Voinovich in Ohio is also up for re-election in 2010 and may want to pad his "moderate" credentials.  

The truth about John McCain.

[ Parent ]
I wouldn't bet on it... (4.00 / 2)
EFCA will have stronger and better funded opposition than just about anything else that's been proposed. Without 8 it will be a serious battle. Not impossible by any means, but an uphill climb for sure.

[ Parent ]
Voinovich called Obama a socialist... (4.00 / 1)
...I think he's more worried about his wingnut credentials (they hate him), if he does plan to run again.  I'm convinced, though, that he will retire.  He's in his 70s and he's never had to deal with a tough election, ever... Seriously!  Ever!  All his elections from the mayor of Cleveland to Governor to Senator have either followed a disastrous democratic administration (mayor, governor) making him a shoo-in, or he's been met with token opposition (his entire senate run... his last opponent was a guy named Fingerhut!  He was as bad a democratic candidate as his name implies).

I can't see him trying to fight for a tough re-election to be in the minority, after he's been in the majority most of his senate career...  He's had a god career... why not retire with dignity?

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
What would Voinovich gain? (0.00 / 0)
Alas, I have to wonder what Voinovich would gain by supporting this bill. He's not going to get labor behind him anyway. I suspect he'll find other votes to make himself look "moderate".

I hope I'm wrong on that one.


[ Parent ]
Cloture vote (4.00 / 2)
The vote for cloture in 2007 was 51-48, with Specter the only Republican yea and Johnson (D-SD) not voting, so we were 8 votes short. I too suspect that there's a good chance a popular President Obama could get the two Maine Senators (for example) to vote yea this time around. That said, I don't know much about the machinations behind this bill.

Lieberman voted yea on the EFCA -- a cautionary tale about driving him out of the caucus.


[ Parent ]
Thanks Alex (0.00 / 0)
This is what I have been looking for.  

[ Parent ]
Had Mel Reynolds and Carol Mosely Braun behaved themselves. (0.00 / 0)
We would have not heard about Barack Obama. He would have been a local citizen-

Mel Reynolds went to jail on statutotary rape charges in 1995- State Senator Alice Palmer gave up her seat to run for Reynolds seat- Palmer lost in the primary to Jesse Jackson Jr. Obama suceeded Palmer in the Illinios State Senate.

Carol Mosely Braun had a controversial tenure in the US Senate. She lost her seat to a Conservative Republican Senator Peter Fitzgerald in 1998 who decided not to seek re-election in 2004. Obama was elected to the US Senate in 2004.

Mel Reynolds would have still be representing IL-2CD.
Carol Mosely Braun would have still been in the US Senate.


...And? (0.00 / 0)
     What's your point?

[ Parent ]
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