527s

It's the last week...

by: btchakir

Tue Oct 28, 2008 at 10:16

What a week this is starting to be! Obama is tying up a controlled and well thought out campaign with the support of more and more people (including leading Republican spokespeople and influential Independents), while McCain and Palin, supported by the most extreme 527 groups, are trying anything to smear the Democratic candidate and are resorting to tricks to turn the numbers around.
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Quick Hits And Open Thread

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Aug 11, 2008 at 20:00

I am going to sign off for the evening, cook dinner and watch the Olympics. Before I do, I wanted to give a shout out to everyone who is posting Quick Hits. The stuff you guys are posting there these days is extremely useful to me, and I have been drawing about half of my front page story ideas from what you write. And even when I don't write about it, almost always everything you guys post is interesting and informative. Further, now that we have comments on Quick Hits, we really have a rolling, informative news wire and developing community all our own.

Great stuff! Keep them coming. Remember, anyone who is a trusted user, which is almost everyone who signed up for Open Left more than 30 days ago, can post Quick Hits. Eventually, I would like to expand from 15 on the front page to 20, 30, or even 50. Then, we would have a new, progressive news wire pointing us to useful info like this:

Obama okays outside funding (Aviva)

Send in the 527s!

That is good news, albeit a bit late and worthy of future verification. Thanks Aviva!

Anyway, this is an open thread. What's on your mind tonight? Also, what other improvements would you like to see on Open Left?  

Discuss :: (19 Comments)

McCain Attack Advantage

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Aug 04, 2008 at 15:17

Here is an interesting tidbit. By a 9-4 ratio, McCain is mentioning Obama more than Obama is mentioning McCain.

John McCain's campaign website has 5,540 mentions of Obama, and 21,900 mentions of McCain. That comes out to a 4-1 ratio of McCain's campaign talking about himself versus talking about Obama.

Obama's campaign website, by contrast, has 5,680,000 mentions of Obama, and 628,000 mentions of McCain, for a 9-1 ratio.

Adjusting for the relative size of each campaign website, I believe this means that, by a 9-4 ratio, McCain is mentioning Obama more than Obama is mentioning McCain. Invariably, when one mentions the other, it is to attack him.

If Obama loses this campaign, it will be because of this gap in attacks. Some may argue that Obama is constrained in his ability to attack McCain, because he is African-American. Whether or not that is true, and I doubt that it is, Obama restricted attacks on McCain by cutting off funding for progressive 527's back in the spring. Those are organizations that would have done very little, except attack McCain.

I don't think it is hard to imagine that the past four weeks, which generally have not been great for Obama, would have been very different if well-funded 527's like Vote Vets and Progressive Media USA were flooding the airwaves and appearing on news programs with attacks on McCain. As it is, Obama's relative reluctance to go on the attack, combined with severely weakened progressive advocacy organizations, is the main reason why McCain has been able to dominate the terms of the debate lately. And no, as at least one person has argued, this is not the fault of the blogosphere:

Among an avalanche of other examples, here you have CBS unethically hiding an importantly dishonest McCain answer on the surge timing vis-à-vis the Anbar Awakening, you have AP Washington bureau chief Ron Fournier writing love notes to Karl Rove and having been in negotiations to join McCain's campaign press staff, and it's not even close among Democratic voters that the press favors Obama. That's called utter failure of the Democratic blogosphere to influence the debate on press favoritism. Democratic bloggers and television analysts need to accept that if they want to fight this battle they need to scrap the entire ineffective strategy they're using and start from scratch.

If you cut off your main attack dogs, you are going to start losing debates in the media. This was a conscious decision by the Obama campaign, one that I think a majority of bloggers opposed. If along with a couple of MSNBC pundits, the progressive blogosphere functions as the entire progressive media operation for this cycle, then we will be seriously outgunned by the massive conservative media operation.

Of course we are losing debates--we through away our best weapons. If Obama loses this campaign, it will be just as much his fault for de-funding the 527s as it will be for the media buying into McCain's attacks. In fact, the entire reason you fund the former is because, by now, all Democrats should expect the latter.

Discuss :: (24 Comments)
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