Username: JC
PersonId: 303
Created: Mon Jul 09, 2007 at 12:51
JC's RSS Feed

Some post election questions

by: JC

Wed Nov 05, 2008 at 12:28

I would have asked these questions yesterday, however, at home, have been without internet connection for a few days.

So I thought I would ask them here - hopefully, someone can direct me to this post election analysis.

1. Obama wins by about 6 percentage points - this means this is the largest percentage win of a democratic non-incumbent, since 1964, correct?

2. Obama seemed to match the polling - but looking at the polling predictions for the Senate, and the House, it seems that the mainline democratic UNDERperformed - is this accurate?  

I'm looking at Merkely, Stevens, and also at Franken, specifically. Even the winners, seemed to win less than the average polling seemed to signify.

3.  As much as I've paid attention these last 8 years, this election, to me, simply seems a relief - euphoria sure, but I think I mainly started paying attention to things, because it seems so clear that the Bush junta were, basically, evil in a way I hadn't experienced any other President to be.

In a way, I feel I can pay less attention now, because there are decent "grown-ups", in charge.  Not that it would be perfect, but at least people PAYING ATTENTION to all americans, and not being destructive from a negligent, ideological standpoint.

Does anyone else feel this way?

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Paul Krugman versus Dean Barnett

by: JC

Mon Sep 29, 2008 at 13:42

Both economists I trust.

Krugman says Grit your teeth, hold your nose, and vote yes, because there is a gun pointed at the economy

Dean Barnett says F**K that noise

And me?

Well, since I can't get a PhD in economics, I simply have to make a decision, "who do I trust?"

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Thoughts on the media campaign - please read and add your thoughts

by: JC

Sun Sep 14, 2008 at 12:41

(This is a less fancy-pants way of making my key argument in my earlier diary, "Walking And Chewing Gum"--we're not reality-based when it comes to campaigning, and we need to be.  Maybe this will get more of a response. - promoted by Paul Rosenberg)

Only one guy's opinion, but what seems to be missed in the comments about what "Obama should do", is to look fairly ruthlessly at the process of campaigning. The Republicans seems to really have made a science of campaigning. Take a look at this David Brooks article
 
While I disagree with a lot of what David Brooks says, I do think there is a valid history traced -
 
There's More... :: (23 Comments, 672 words in story)

Thought experiment - delegate count after a bad 2 months for Obama

by: JC

Tue Apr 29, 2008 at 19:59

Given the recent changes in the polling - Obama's numbers have been halved in NC, Clinton is out to a substantial lead in IN, Clinton ahead by 63 to 27 in KY - I have used Slate's Delegate Counter to imagine a bad result for Obama, through the June contest.

I believe, the absolute worst he can do, based on the Slate calculator, is lose 63 pledged delegates.

That is before included MI and FL.
 

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 200 words in story)

Finally a new poll on Indiana from SUSA - IN like OH and Penn

by: JC

Tue Apr 01, 2008 at 16:31

I saw over at TPM Election, that there is a new SUSA poll, that shows Clinton beating Obama by 9 points.

This makes some sense, as Indiana is right next to Ohio and Kentucky, and shares a lot of cultural similarity.

Now, how much the other state neighbor, Illinois, is going to make a difference?

 

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

Hacks in the Progressive Sphere - Hold Them Accountable? Who Judges?

by: JC

Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 18:28

One big thing about this election between the two democratic candidates that I haven't seen covered, and I think I've mentioned it before in a comment - is I haven't seen anyone take on the "hacks" in the progressive blogosphere.
There's More... :: (0 Comments, 603 words in story)

Fox News Friend Hilary

by: JC

Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 09:26

Kos points out that Hilary wants to be in Fox debate

Qute the progressive there.  We've done a pretty good job of freezing Fox out, and making them laughingstocks -why stop now?

Discuss :: (0 Comments)

"Great Need of the Hour", and the alternative Progressive Bet

by: JC

Sun Jan 20, 2008 at 19:20

I'm sure everyone has seen this Daily Kos entry on Barack's recent speech

If you haven't, please go give it a read. 

For myself -

the speech, even in written form, is simply - a powerful gust of fresh air, amazing, inspiring, heart-stopping - use the adjectives you wish to use.

I'm now getting a bit depressed about this election.  This guy, Obama (who, if I'm not mistaken, actually LEADS in delegates picked by primaries/caucuses, so far, right?), is simply not being seen for what he is.
 

There's More... :: (0 Comments, 526 words in story)
Donate to Open Left









QUICK HITS

Friends of the Earth thanks the OpenLeft community for the ideas you generate and your contributions to the progressive movement.


blog advertising is good for you
blog advertising is good for you
SEARCH

   

Advanced Search