Here's a chart of Obama's leads (Obama minus McCain for each poll, +ve or -ve) generated by the spreadsheet which compares Rasmussen Reports (RR)'s numbers with trends from all other pollsters':
The blue curve (a so-called "polyline") is the 5-poll moving average (i.e. it's the average of the 5 most recent polls) for non-Rasmussen polls. The red polyline shows RR's trends (the big red dots are RR's poll results) while the green polyline shows those for Non-Rasmussen pollsters. The light pink line is the 3-poll moving average.
1. Excluding Michigan and Florida, Obama has a popular vote lead of 610,000 votes.
2. Including FL's beauty-contest result and an exit poll based estimate in MI (which improves it from a non-contest where Obama wasn't on the ballot to sort of a FL-type beauty contest where no one could campaign), Obama currently has a 251,000 lead in the popular vote.
Hillary Clinton denigrated Obama's lifetime when she said:
I think that I have a lifetime of experience that I will bring to the White House. I know Senator McCain has a lifetime of experience to the White House. And Senator Obama has a speech he gave in 2002," Clinton says. Link
There were troubling aspects to this 90-page document. While slanted toward the conclusion that Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction stored or produced at 550 sites, it contained vigorous dissents on key parts of the information, especially by the departments of State and Energy. Particular skepticism was raised about aluminum tubes that were offered as evidence Iraq was reconstituting its nuclear program. As to Hussein's will to use whatever weapons he might have, the estimate indicated he would not do so unless he was first attacked.
That's what Senator Bob Graham, the chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee in 2002 wrote his Washington Post OpEd regarding the classified 90-page National Intelligence Estimate on Saddam's Iraq that was presented by Bush administration's CIA as evidential basis for a war with Iraq:
I don't like to bet (esp. with money), except for a rare lottery ticket or two and a rarer slot machine playing for fun.
But, I happened to check the online betting site Intrade for the 2008 election and found something very interesting. Link (click the "2008 US Election" link to the left).
I am writing to report a response from Kalee Kreider (VP Al Gore's communications director and environmental advisor) to a pair of Washington Post articles on British High Court judge Michael Burton's ruling concerning Gore's movie on global warming, An Inconvenient Truth.
