"Nationalize GM" meme spreading (tdub)
Paul Ingrassia (WSJ, 11/10) called for receivership, with the board and management fired, and shareholders losing "their paltry remaining equity"; Friedman (NYT, 11/11) endorsed that.

Now Dan Neil (LAT, 12/2), Robert Weissman (12/2), Michael Moore (12/3), and Ian Welsh (12/3) are all shouting the N-word.

But will anyone in Congress hear this?  Or will the oversight of our investment into the automakers follow the TARP model?

Well it can't be TARP
since they are talking bankruptcy (negotiated version) and loans along with heavy oversight. This is what Robert Reich was saying of the plan he's hearing.

Bankruptcy is sure death...
...at least Ford will be able to avoid that fate, and maybe be able to buy enough time to shuffle its dwindling supplier base so it can stay afloat.

At least we can save one of the three....  still, I don't think that's going to be enough keep Michigan and Ohio blue for us...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
Why would a negotiated bankruptcy
be sure death? We are not talking traditional bankrutcy here. What do you mean?

[ Parent ]
No one will buy a car fomr a bankrupt company....
...they could barely give oldsmobiles away in their last year, and that was just a nameplate change!

Ironically, I would have been one of the people who wanted one... loved the Alero... and I'd buy from a bankrupt GM, too... I prefer american cars.. I don't fit well in japanese cars....

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
maybe part of what needs to change is that hte goverment
must start to change buyers habits. Robert Reich was making similar commentary tonight. My first thought was- okay - so we are going to end up here again because the American people refuse to change their habits? That's not good.

[ Parent ]
Which habits?
You mean buying imported cars more than they buy American cars? :P

Actually as far as I can tell the biggest problem with American carbuying habits right now is "Americans do not want to buy cars right now, because we are in a recession". I'm not sure how the government can change that. At one point recently it would have been pretty easy to convince people to buy new cars by making the cars electric or somehow affordably non-gas-dependent, but now gas is cheap again...


[ Parent ]
Reich is the one who said what i just wrote
now, unless he too now is not "progressive enough" I am tending to believe what he says. His main point is that of the people who are buying cars- since there are sitll people buying that becuase the price of gas went down, those people turn right around and started buying the big gas guzzlers. He didn't say this, but what's clear is that part of the problem is the American people. No one wants to say this. So we keep finding our selves here .  

[ Parent ]
as a practical matter this means wea re making
cars that limit our market to americans who can afford it due to cheap gas

[ Parent ]
remember this is not the first time they have come asking for
billion dollar bailouts. my concern is with the future- what next? more bailouts? then what?

[ Parent ]
The last one was 30 years ago...
...and Chrysler paid it back ahead of time...

Meanwhile, Toyota and Honda get U.S. taxpayer funded plants in the South... no one complains about that...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
how does this change the fact we have to bail them out?
and how does that address my concern to tell me another wrong is occuring down south?

[ Parent ]
'Cos it was the banking crisis that caused GM's crisis....
...all the automakers, foreign and domestic, were severely hurt, not just GM...

GM's underbelly was soft 'cos they were frontloading a lot of costs to get rid of their health and pension obligations that would have started in 2010.

This is a unique and temporary situation

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
they made poor management decisions
I do not want to reward that although I do want to help out. I dont trust them to maqke good management decisions going forward so things have got to change. Nearly 66 percent of hte american public does not want to give them a loan out at all. I am at least in the 33 percen category, but i expect  a lot for it, and saying that other high way robberies occured in other industries isn't convincing.  

[ Parent ]
It's that unfounded fear of "socialism"...
...that is keeping this back.  It's also the reason why we don't actually own those banks we bailed out.

It's stupid, of course, but we are still getting over Reaganomics...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


I hate the term
meme.  I really do.

So does my wife
she ranks meme up there with "I could care less"

John McCain won't insure children

[ Parent ]
meme = the new "incentivize"
Just another corruption of the English language

[ Parent ]
Richard Dawkins has done great good in his life
But he has also done great evil

[ Parent ]
Hm, now I'm not so sure
If Friedman likes the idea, then there has to be some kind of catch.

the catch: Friedman wants Steve Jobs to take over GM pro bono
Hey, I love my iMac, but...

Apple's factories are all outsourced

Apple corporate culture is extraordiarily hierarchical and secretive

It took Steve two decades to make a two-button mouse, simply because he didn't like two-button mice.

and

Steve doesn't look too healthy lately.



[ Parent ]
preferred shares, voting stock
Right now I wouldn't trust government to manage eating a kiwi frankly.  Good God, you can't even get them to enact any real oversight of the TARP itself.  

So, I"m for plain giving them the money and in exchange some preferred shares, voting shares and possibly giving the unions some corporate voting rights and some profit sharing.

There is so much that needs to be done and while outsourcing came up today, which was GREAT, the fact is we have very unfair trade agreements against the US auto industry.

Yes I know GM especially management is messed up and so on, but I think one should address the immediate emergency and then continue.

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


EPI 18% unemployment in MI
One thing is something has to be done and done now.

EPI just released a study, which along with other facts manfrommiddletown blogged here.

Look at the unemployment maps and see if they do not scare the shit out of you.

EPI is a labor centric think tank and they simply do not release economic fiction in their studies and reports.

This kind of unemployment disaster projection is real folks.

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


18% seems like a low number to me...
It doesn't matter, Robert...  No one outside of the great lakes states seem to give a damn about us...

Bush's final gift to the country...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
I do
and there are many over on EP, including someone completely focused on green technologies who does.

I agree with you, Michigan keeps getting shit on constantly, but blame corporate media and the years of spin to break unions and try to act like one can simply go to college to escape horrific economic conditions and bad worker treatment, and somehow dis working people.  

It's bullshit, there is no difference between blue collar and white collar.  

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


[ Parent ]
I know you care!
You are a great advocate for workers, Robert!  And you are right on with your analysis...

Unfortunately, it's a minority opinion...

And I guarantee you... if GM fails and we see the massive unemployment, the same people complaining about the potential bailout will then complain about, "Why didn't we DO something?"

Well, we had a chance, and we seem to be blowing it...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
GM needs $4 b/month - $144 billion until it breaks even
per http://meganmcardle.theatlanti...

GM says it needs $4 billion this month, or it goes into bankruptcy, and the same again in January.

GM won't break even until 2012, per http://online.wsj.com/article/...

around 2012. Mr. Henderson said GM believes its North American operations can break even by that year.

Conclusion: the bailout for GM will require $144 billion over the next three years. (And that's if you believe that GM has a handle on it's business plan.)


Faulty math....
...that assume that sales stay at the same level as now, which s extremely unlikely...

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
I think sales are going to get worse before they get better, n/t


[ Parent ]
That's COO Henderson's estimate
Do you think Henderson is assuming sales will stay flat for four years in his projection?

[ Parent ]
You are taking two months
...and extrapolating it to two years linearly... $4 billion every month x 24.  It's not going to look that way.

REID: Voting against us was never part of our arrangement!
SPECTER: I am altering the deal! Pray I don't alter it any further!
REID: This deal keeps getting worse all the time!


[ Parent ]
bad math
you cannot extrapolate that out, esp. since they are doing their own restructuring and certain costs will decrease.  Then, you're missing the current reality of the economy and how people are just not buying cars at the moment.  

It's not a linear, never ending equation, not a valid set of assumptions.

NoSlaves.com  


The Economic Populist


[ Parent ]
And sales won't be stable either, as the recession deepens
Yes, it's dynamic. But there is no data suggesting that things will get better anytime soon.

[ Parent ]
The stock market crash suggests
things will get worse before they get better.

[ Parent ]
Total Mismanagement
I am willing to give a loan to the auto companies on the conditions that they stop opposing higher CAFE standards, move away from depending on SUVs, build "green" cars, and fire the management of these companies.

The US auto companies are completely mismanaged.  THey have conceded whole segments of the market place to foreign competitors like station wagons.  You cannot buy a station wagon from a US auto company - I know since I looked 3 yrs ago.  Subaru, VW and Volvo sell over 500,000 wagons a year - that is a sizeable market to just abandon b/c there are quicker profits to be made on SUVs.

It seems like the US automakers go through near death experiences every 10-15 yrs.  This time death seems like a real possibility which I hope will be avoided.  However, well run organizations do not follow this up and down cycle and the auto companies need to show how they are going to pull themselves out of this cycle once and for all.  


Moore and Welsh Are Right
Just nationalize these companies, fix them and sell them back in an IPO once they are profitable again.  It worked really well with Conrail.  

Also, while we are at it can we get rid of these ridiculous state franchise laws that force people to buy cars through a dealer.  Talk about an outdated system.  I'd be very happy to never set foot in a dealership again and purchasing a car on the Internet directly from the company and pick it up once it was ready.  


[ Parent ]
Yeah, the dealerships are half of the problem
Why the hell shouldn't I be able to get a car with the exact options I want, and not have to do this bizarre midieval bargaining in order to get a fair price on the car?

[ Parent ]
You Should
What I can't figure out is how car dealers have so much power both politically and with the car companies.  The public hates car dealers b/c they rightly see them as a bunch of sleezoids.  I have bought 3 new cars in my life and everytime I left the dealership I wanted to take a shower.  Buying a car is one of the worst experiences but it doesn't have to be.


[ Parent ]
Nationalization
would be far more expensive.

If you buy these companies, you are still on the hook for all of their obigations - which is something I don't think More realizes.  Nationalizing these companies is not chearper than bailing them out.


[ Parent ]
Don't people who buy SUV's deserve part of the blame?
They wouldn't sell them if people didn't buy them.  Especially since they make huge profits on them.  I would agree that they did not need to conceed the 'economy car' market to foreign makes.  

GM does make a wagon, they just don't sell it in America.  I went to Chevy's United Kingdom website, not a single car averaged less than 30 mpg and depending on your definition of a wagon, they offer one in England.  You will not recognize the names of these cars, nor do they resemble any car they sell here.  Why is that?  There are probably several reasons, but one is that they could sell SUV's in this country for a great profit.  


[ Parent ]
Yes But
The US automakers created the SUV craze starting with the Ford Explorer.  The biggest mistake the US automakers made was starving their car R&D; budgets to fund SUVs.  All the foreign car makers have SUVs and minivans but they also put money into updating their sedans regularly.

In the early 1990s the Ford Taurus was the best selling car in the US regularly beating out the Honda Accord and Toyota Camry.  Now those cars outsell American competition by miles.

The other thing is that the US car companies constantly change the name of models.  They do nothing to build brand loyalty and equity.  In the last 20 yrs, Chevy's large sedan has gone from Caprice to Lumina to Impala.  In the 1980s, Chrysler put the LeBaron name on a different car almost yearly.  Ford built brand equity in Taurus and then dumped it b/c some marketing moron thought all Ford car names should start with the letter F and then resurrected it.

Foreign car makers stick with brand names and build on them - Civic, Corolla, Camry, Accord, Maxima, C Class, 3 Series, etc have been around for decades.


[ Parent ]
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