Username: telephasic
PersonId: 3063
Created: Thu Aug 30, 2007 at 14:17
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No race chasm in PA and other surprising results...

by: telephasic

Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 14:47

Over the last several weeks, David Sirota has been pushing his theory of a "race chasm."  The theory is where black numbers are overwhelming white racism can be overcome, and where black populations are scarce, there isn't a history of racial politics, so Obama can win white voters, but in those states in the middle, he tends to lose, or at best win narrowly.  In his

Looking at the county-by-county breakdown in many states, from ones Clinton has won to ones that Obama has won, it's clear that Obama does worse, overall, in overwhelmingly white counties in Appalachia.  But I didn't have concrete data, so I decided to look at my own state, PA, in great detail.  And I found a few surprising things...

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How the rest of the campaign will play out...

by: telephasic

Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 05:22

I'm totally pulling some of this out of my ass, based upon what I know about the states involved and the demographics.  But my two cents...
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