Regaining progressive focus: Thoughts on organizing for & against

by: Paul Rosenberg

Sat Apr 24, 2010 at 15:45


This diary is intended to continue a progression started two weeks ago in a pair of diaries titled "Regaining focus: Growing a progressive majority", parts 1 & 2, combining that progression with observations drawn from the previous diary today, "A REALLY big picture look at at what works--pragmatism vs. ideology in economic development--Pt 1". The purpose is to clarify some basic issues about organizing for long-term progressive political power.

Recap

Before getting started, a brief review is in order. In Regaining focus: Growing a progressive majority-Part 1, I introduced Chris's idea of A Liberal/Reform Coalition, which he introduced in his post-2004 election diary, "Eureka! Or How To Break the Republican Majority Coalition".  In that diary, Chris identified a non-ideological reform-oriented segment of the population, which has shown up in third-party presidential campaigns since the Populist era, and argued that liberalism could sensibly be expanded to deal with reformer concerns.  In Part 2, I discussed the political foundations of what such a coalition might look like, starting with evidence of the progressive nature of millennial voters as a whole and the example of the Dean campaign and the continued thrust of his 50-state strategy, then moving on to two examples I had discussed during the 2008 primary campaign. First was Jacob Hacker's Great Risk Shift analysis which sees a security focus as enabling and encouraging creative and product risk by managing needlessly crippling risk.  Second was Robert Fuller's Dignitarian analysis, a comprehensive framework for an all-inclusive egalitarian politics.

Last week, following a tip from commentator essaywhuman, I discussed Stirling Newberry's "Petroleum Paradigm" analysis, which slices up the electorate along different lines, and does a particularly good job of clarifying the deep, but poorly-understood chasm between Obama and progressive committed to fundamental change.  One of the most significant points of this analysis was that both Obama and his more progressive critics are advocates of gradual transition--the difference is gradual transition to what. As Newberry explained it, progressives are committed to a new order, a post-petroleum world that operates by a different logic, while the moderates that Obama represents want a transition to a more stable version of the dying petroleum paradigm--a practical impossibility that's politically quite appealing since it avoids all-out war.  In "Triangulating progressive change: Adding Stirling Newberry's 3-polar petroleum politics to the mix". I wrote:

(2) Second, in a passage already quoted above, Stirling perfectly captures the fact that progressives are as much about gradual and carefully-managed transitions as anyone else.  They are not about radical jump-off-the-cliff changes.  But what they are about is moving away from continued subsidizing of and subservience to the dinosaur special interests that are bleeding us dry:
The second view is that the land casino can continue longer, but only if carefully managed, this is the "Moderate" view. The third view is that it requires careful management to transition away from the land casino, or the "Progressive" view.

This captures perfectly the difference between progressives and Obama, as well as capturing why it's been hard for many progressives to see how he differs from us.

Paul Rosenberg :: Regaining progressive focus: Thoughts on organizing for & against
And Now...

In the diary just before this one today, "A REALLY big picture look at at what works--pragmatism vs. ideology in economic development--Pt 1", the major new addition was a clarifying picture of neoliberalism's larger context as part of pattern of top-down, technocratic, social engineering approaches, informed by ideology and largely blind to the more more diverse and messy world of human beings and stubborn facts.

Here are a five of the more salient points that I think can be gleaned from the confluence of these diaries.  I am sure there are more you can come up with, but this is a good number to kick off a further conversation:

(1) Obama is not a pragmatist in any ordinary sense of the word--or particularly in the more considered sense of the word discussed in the previous diary.  He is an elite dealmaker, and progressives need to be very clear about this.  We should stop using the word "pragmatism" to describe what he does, and criticize the use of the word by others.  We should promote alternatives such as "deal-making", "insider", "conflict-suppressing," etc. used consciously to highlight that actual specifics of what he is doing in any particular situation.  While it's a good idea to counter-brand, it's important not to do so willy-nilly or prematurely.  First seek to really understand what is going on.  Be as accurate as possible, let accurate counter-branding emerge organically.

(2) There are a pair of strong convergences, between Stirling Newberry's "Petroleum Paradigm" analysis and Kellerman's pragmatism vs. economic ideology analysis.  On the one hand, there is a convergence between the top-down social engineering vision, with its "one best way" philosophy, and the moderate, petroleum paradigm preserving political block in Newberry's analysis.  The moderate block is dominated by technocratic elites and their supporters and followers.  It is enamored of models and solutions that can showered down from on high, and political processes conducted behind closed doors that are more akin to product design meetings than anything most people would recognize as political. Preserving the essential power-relations of the status quo, and trimming things around the edges toward this end are the primary goals.  Stylized skill sets are highly prized, and serve to define hierarchies of personal value, regardless of actual real-world consequences. Fundamental rethinking is fundamentally unthinkable.

On the one hand, there is another convergence between the bottom-up, pragmatist/pluralist vision and the progressive block that recognizes the need for a fundamental paradigm shift away from petroleum, and toward a sustainable energy future. Indeed, the very lack of a silver bullet alternative and the need for a multi-facet, multi-level approach to get beyond fossil fuels is indicative of a profound congruity between the post-petroleum worldview and the bottom-up pragmatist/pluralist vision.  This convergent worldview doesn't necessarily shun solutions or models from the moderate/social engineering worldview, if they can be repurposed to fit within a more pluralist, open-ended framework.  The challenge of this worldview is to develop a coherent, though non-dogmatic and open-ended framework for understanding itself and what distinguishes it from the still-dominant dying worldview it is struggling to escape from.

(3) All the major legislative battles on or potentially on the Obama Agenda can be illuminated by these differences.  Preservation of status-quo powers is a fundamental goal and purpose of the Obama's Agenda.  It's a feature, not a bug... from Obama's perspective.

  • In health care, this means preserving the health care companies, even though they add no value whatsoever to the economy.
  • In financial reform, it means preserving the big banks, and their mega-bonuses, even though they are actively destructive to the larger economy.
  • In climate change legislation, this means preserving all the dirty energy sectors, reigniting off-shore oil drilling, reviving nuclear, and seeking to extend the use of coal for centuries in the future. This is not just destructive to the larger economy, but to the environment, and potentially to the very future of civilization as we know it.
  • It's the reason why EFCA has stalled with barely a murmmer, and the heart of EFCA--card check--has been publicly declared dead.  There is simply no way to finese this betrayal--at least not yet, and so it has simply been buried.
  • It's the reason DADT has been slow-walked, despite overwhelming momentum in its favor.

(4) Progressive counter-organizing on all the big agenda items requires some degree of re-framing, re-conceptualizing, and re-organizing that effectively isolates the very establishment powers that be which Obama has consciously planned to either protect (in health care, finance and energy policy) or appease (with RFCA and DADT).

In the three more complex issue areas, there is a deeper need to work on inter-connecting the issues:  Health insurance companies are part of the financial sector.  And the financial sector is deeply implicated in the energy sector as well.  Re-framing, re-conceptualizing and re-organizing means a process of mental de-colonialization, along side a process of discovering actual, concrete relationships from which a more complicated, sophisticated common understanding can be constructed over time, in the sort of bottom-up pragmatic manner that Ellerman describes.

(5) There is a need for critical analysis along pragmatist lines such as Ellerman describes at even the most local level of organizing.  This is not something that can be left to specialists, leaders or experts.  The 19th Century populists understood this very well, and placed collective self-education at the core of their organizing.  We need to emulate their example, while taking full advantage of the technologocial aids available to us today.  This analysis does not take place apart from our political activity, but in an ongoing relationship to and with it.


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Great Diaries (0.00 / 0)
I always have a hard time figuring out what to say if I don't disagree with some part or another.  I'm having a hard time coming up with such a disagreement...

I think this is a very useful way of looking at the current dynamics.  Some of it seems obvious to me, but much is new.  Thanks.


Thanks, Mark (0.00 / 0)
You can always share something that pops into your head, a personal connection you make, or whatever.  It doesn't have to be "profound".  An awful lot of wisdom just comes spilling out when people talk honestly amongst themselves.

And, even if it's not spectacularly wise, just the fact that people can make particular use of more broad observations is something that others can learn from.  You may not realize it, but it's a skill you have that others can learn by observing you. Many people simply can't make such connections, except perhaps haphazardly.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
This, by itself... (4.00 / 2)
(1) Obama is not a pragmatist in any ordinary sense of the word--or particularly in the more considered sense of the word discussed...

was worth the price of admission.  Obama's "pragmatism" is a really hard argument to counter in the context of an interlocutor's asserted given the political realities.  G_d, but I hate that exchange, and have learned to dread it.  But, when you add "deal-making", "insider", "conflict-suppressing," to the discussion, you can begin to talk about how those political realities are formed.  It's always assumed that Obama (or,members of his administration and congress) come to those realities, and are powerless in the face of them.  They are always confronted by the realities.  It's never suggested that his "deal-making", "insider", "conflict-suppressing" attributes are the shaper of them, or the developer of the context for those realities.  It opens up a whole n'other way of thinking; ie, How are those realities formed, and didn't his election change any of them?


Precisely! (4.00 / 2)
If there's any one person ideally situated to alter the political world as given, it's the President of the United States.

And if he's a president specifically elected on a campaign whose main themes are "hope" and "change", then all the moreso.

Ergo, every time he argues for his own powerlessness, there's no one more responsible for that powerlessness than him.  I mean, would Obama accept a 13-year old student at some school he was visiting for a photo op telling him, "Sorry, Mr. President, but I can't change future.  I've got to deal with the reality in front me, however much I might wish it were different"?

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Where we are going (0.00 / 0)
I feel fairly certain that Obama considers himself to be pragmatic.  If you were to draw a line between "pragmatic" and "social engineer" as defined in the previous diary, that Obama would fall on the pragmatic side.

But I think the deeper observation is that is the wrong line to draw.  The more important observation is one dealing with where he wants to take this country.

My personal opinion is Obama isn't trying to take this country anywhere.  He isn't purposefully defending the status quo, per se, but is a dealer maker with the powerful.  That is the obvious conclusion.  But he doesn't fight it either, because he has no destination in mind.

Going back to the ship analogy, Obama qualifies as pragmatic in the sense he is trying to fix the ship at sea, but he is not steering the ship at all.  He doesn't even seem to realize the ship is going somewhere.

How's this image?  Obama is a captain of a ship that he is doing a very good job at repairing at sea.  However, he fails to notice he is sailing directly into a hurricane.


[ Parent ]
Yes, Well (0.00 / 0)
How's this image?  Obama is a captain of a ship that he is doing a very good job at repairing at sea.  However, he fails to notice he is sailing directly into a hurricane.

How pragmatic is that?

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Micro or Macro? (4.00 / 1)
Looking at the big picture, it isn't pragmatic at all.  But that is assuming you actually know the hurricane is there.  But if you ship doesn't have the technology to detect it, then pragmatism is the wrong way to analyze the problem.

Look at it another way.  You pointed out that China is taking the pragmatic approach to change, which is in stark contrast to what Russia has been doing.  But where, exactly, is China going?  Personally, I have almost no clue.  But that wasn't the point of using the word "pragmatism".  Pragmatism was how one approaches implementing change, not about what that change should be.

We could argue all day on whether Obama qualified as pragmatic or not (looking at any action in microcosm, it seems clear to me he is), but my real point is it doesn't really matter in the context of what Obama is doing wrong.  Your other diaries (and the China/Russian one as well) got to the other point that you can differentiate liberal to neo-liberal by recognizing they are going to different destinations.  Direction a different axis, different eigenvector, than pragmatism.

My own observation to add to this, though I have nothing to back it up, is that while liberals are very cognizant of where they want to take us, neo-liberals are not.  Clearly, they reject the liberal destination, but I don't think they are trying to take us in a different direction so much as reject the notion that there is a direction to go at all.  The result is, of course, the same.


[ Parent ]
I Don't Really Disagree With You Mark (0.00 / 0)
In the sense of thinking you are "wrong".  I appreciate that you're basically just taking another approach that's also valid, but that I find less useful for me.  (I find it more useful, in short, to stick with a unified theory approach in which I never forget about the iceberg.)

As for yor last paragraph, I couldn't agree more.  I think you put it perfectly.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
<i>Two paths diverged in a wood...</i> (0.00 / 0)
The thing I got from Paul's previous diary is pragmatic finds meaning in terms of principles.  Pragmatism is its own ideology, but to keep from becoming entangled, and for the sake of argument, I'm using the notion of pragmatic to describe a means, rather than an end.  Obama, and his apologists, argue that he is pragmatic.  When they do, they conflate means and ends.  Whatever end point is presumed to be before us, is justified by Obama's pragmatism.  And, Obama's pragmatism is justified by the political realities.  To oppose Obama's course of action is to be called ideological,  an extremist of some kind, or a purist.  

Because I'm merging a bit of Paul Rosenberg with a bit of Glenn Greenwald, I probably did a bend/fold/staple/spindle/mutilate on Paul's premise.

There's a difference -- a fundamental one -- between (a) being pragmatic in trying to implement one's principles and (b) having no principles at all and and glorifying that unanchored emptiness as "pragmatism."  Once you enter the realm of (b), you are not only guilty of having no principles (a sin in its own right), but you're incapable of finding a way to effectively justify what you're doing, because you have no coherent principles to which you can credibly appeal.   In virtually every realm (health care, financial reform, national security), and especially in Terrorism/civil liberties, that has been the great political failure of the Obama administration.

Glenn Greenwald; Obama sabotages himself with fake "pragmatism"

Obama moves pragmatically towards his principles, which are not mine.  As best I can tell, Obama's principles are consistent with those of a neo-liberal, unless, as Greenwald speculates, Obama has no principles at all.  Those are not my principles.  They are not mine in terms  of civil liberties, human rights, foreign policy, energy, financial reform, or health care.  At this point, I am not confused about where I am, and where I would prefer to go.  I am also a lot clearer about where Obama wants to go.  And, I determine where Obama wants to go based on Obama's behavioral choices.  Obama and I are not headed to the same place, no matter how each of us chooses to get there.

By writing, [Obama] has no destination in mind, you simultaneously decry him as a leader and deny him agency.  I'm not sure you intended to do that.



[ Parent ]
A Lot To Chew On As I Start To Fade (0.00 / 0)
I need a timeout, I'm afraid, or I'd respond at greater length.  But I will say this: I think there's a very real sense in which Obama really doesn't have any particular destination in mind, but given the existing circumstances that still equates functionally to exactly the same thing you seem to be talking about.

I hope that's clear.

(Consider it in light of "If you don't stand for something, you'll fall for anything.")

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Then, I say, BREAK TIME! (0.00 / 0)
The way the comments thread raises hell with my bifocals.  My reply was intended for Mark Matson ... Did I screw up and hit the wrong reply key?  Or, if you were going to expand, parse, and clarify, that's great, too!  But, by all means.  Brains do need a time out; mine, frequently.

[ Parent ]
Yep, you replied to me (0.00 / 0)
I had to use my cursor to mark the location of the text to be sure, but yep, your reply was to me.

Now I need to come up with a good answer.....


[ Parent ]
I'll Just Add This (0.00 / 0)
Another way to view this is that Obama defines his pragmatism in terms of "getting things done", without regard to what he's getting done. "Pragmatism" in this sense is defined entirely in terms of Versailles.  It's all a game, and "pragmatism" is about passing legislation like you were scoring touchdowns.  The fact that the legislation may be worse than doing nothing?  Not even close to deserving any attention at all.

By this process, "Obama's goals" become nothing more than the sum of all the legislation he passes.  Whatever he says to the contrary is just more stuff he says in order to pass more legislation down the road.  His rhetoric is self-negating.  He has no "higher goals" at all.  

Of course he does have goals--goals of strengthening the status quo, rather than challenging and changing it, as most of his active supporters believed he would.  But that's just because of the way the game is played.  He also has the goal of convincing himself completely that this is not what he has done.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
A short attempt at a reply (4.00 / 1)
This post makes me think about a couple different things.  For one, "destination" was a strange word for me to use.  In reality, of course, we never arrive at our destination; unless we totally destroy ourselves, the world keeps on moving.

What I'm really talking about is the time horizon the leader is operating under.  The length of his (or someday, her) vision.  Obama's isn't long enough, that's his lack of "destination".  On the other hand, presidents are notoriously short sided.  Obama's natural time horizon is probably longer than any president I've seen, but that is still pretty short.

(Look at this pdf to get a feel of what I'm talking about when it comes to time horizons.  Be warned that is a management doc that worships CEOs, but there is good stuff in there as well.)

On the surface, Obama seems to be pragmatic and to think over long time horizons.  However, I think ideology can play the role of long time horizons.  Even if you personally don't see how your actions change possible futures, if you follow an ideology it will impact the future accordingly.  Someone else has already thought this through.  For example, if you just believe that taking power away from the powerful and distribute it to all the commoners, doing so will have a profound impact on future generations; you don't have to see it for that to be true.

If you dig, you'll find Obama has a deeper level.  He probably doesn't realize it, but his base ideology is the status quo.  All of his change is to fix and repair the flaws in the status quo in a way that leaves it in tact as much as possible.  Note that George Bush and his conservatives are more conscientiously in favor of the status quo, but their actions actually undermined it.

Ironically, Paul's "pragmatism" specifically points out the need to let future generations determine their own path and change course or even fundamental goals.  I guess one could claim Obama has a third, even deeper level and that one is the same as the top surface one, like pie.  But you'd have to be horribly generous to think that.

[hmm, did I say this was going to be a short reply?)


[ Parent ]
"Long Enough" (0.00 / 0)
I agree with much--if not all--of the above.  But I just feel inclined to offer a head-cocked-half-sideways perspective on time horizons.  I'd like to argue that what we're looking for should be conceived on a sliding time-scale--call it "long enough".

For example, the "long enough" time scale for climate change is long enough to correct the balance of GHG's so that we can avoid the worst impacts and reasonable mitigate the rest, while compensating victims justly.

It's an elastic scale--stretching different amounts for each problem--but it's anything but arbitrary.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
I disappointed in you Paul! (4.00 / 1)
I sneak in a Joss Whedon quote and you missed it.  I even made sure to use the word "horrible" to identify it.

Oh well.  The truly important things in life....   :-)


[ Parent ]
I am surprised that you think he is doing a good "repair" job. (4.00 / 1)
I am entirely unconvinced. I fear he has kicked almost every problem down the road, the most critical being the economy, the environment, Afghanistan. What precisely has been repaired?

[ Parent ]
He's Fixing A Flat Tire On A Car In A Junkyard (0.00 / 0)
The fact that the car has no engine is the least of his worries.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Sure (0.00 / 0)
He's gone a long way in making Medicare solvent over the next few decades, for example.

But then your counterargument is "he has kicked almost every problem down the road".  I don't consider that a counterargument at all, but a different way to phrase the same thing.  When your car gets old and broken you have a choice, repair it or replace it.  Repairing it buys you some time and money, but ultimately justs kicks the problem down the road.  Eventually you will need to replace the car.  Or, perhaps, constantly repair it.  Either way, someone will be done about the same problem in the future.

But that doesn't mean you didn't do a good job repairing the car.

(Hmmm, I just noticed Paul makes the "same" reply below me.)


[ Parent ]
Some Things Can't Be Kicked Down The Road (0.00 / 0)
In fact, when the road leads off a cliff, nothing can.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
Someone needs to start organizing Progressive Events in DC to promote progressivism (0.00 / 0)
Republicans have had CPAC, Southern Republican Conf...etc.

All free air time on C-SPAN.  If there were progressive conferences at least C-SPAN would be forced to cover it and get the message out to people that wouldn't otherwise hear what progressive have to say.

Now, don't make it a partisan event.  Sure, a little bit just to keep the crown interested but don't focus on bashing the other side.  Nobody want's to hear that crap who would be interested in what Progressives have to say.

Get some leading politicians, some radio personalities and get them some air time.


[ Parent ]
I never cease to be amazed (4.00 / 2)
at how Obama's apologists keep defending his policies and politics on the basis of either his 11D chess brilliance ("His DoJ is aggressively defending Bush/Cheney national security policies because it wants the courts to overturn them and thus destroy them permanently!"), or his brilliant political pragmatism, always finding that sweet spot along he political spectrum between what is desired and what is possible, such that we might never quite get what we really want, because it's politically impossible, he will almost always deliver the very best results that are politically possible. Either way, his critics on the left just don't "get" him.

When in reality, in almost every major policy area in which he's acted to date, while he's generally delivered something better than anything Bush/Cheney delivered (about as low a threshold for success as one can imagine--with the exception of civil liberties, in which he's been arguably worse), he's invariably delivered far less than what he should, and more importantly COULD have delivered. It wasn't politics that kept him from delivering something better.

It was lack of interest.

He didn't not deliver a public option because the votes weren't there. He didn't deliver it because he didn't want to deliver it, whether because he genuinely believes that the private sector is better able to deliver quality insurance at affordable prices (in which case he's a hopeless idiot), or because he cares more about having the support (or not being the enemy) of the insurance industry than about looking out for the best interests of most Americans (in which case he's a two-faced fake).

I don't believe that he genuinely believes in the former, although he might have deluded himself into believing that he believes this, because I just don't think that he's that stupid. Rather, I believe that he, like many of his smarter and more ambitious late-boomer contemporaries, is more interested in the comforting and easy illusion of genuine success than in its messier and harder reality.

I.e. he wants to look like this generation's Lincoln or FDR, because that's what everyone as smart, well-educated and sophisticated as him wants. It's just that he doesn't want to have to do the sorts of things that he'd have to do to get the sorts of results that Lincoln and FDR got, i.e. fight tooth and nail in nasty political battles and risk going down fighting the good fight. He's just not built for that.

I used to think that he simply lacked the courage of his convictions, but now I think that he doesn't even have any convictions, just a bunch of progressive-sounding fortune cookie platitudes that mean nothing and are just intended to rally the clueless and credulous wing of the broader "left", i.e. educated professional urbanites and working class populists who generally lean left on policy, but are very unsophisticated on policy matters, preferring to press a button every 2-4 years and maybe do some volunteer legwork or make a small donation, than do the mentally taxing work of actually educating themselves on policy and how politics actually works. Like Bush/Cheney/Palin with the far right, he's got these types all figured out (and as with the far right, it's not that hard if you throw out your We Are The World idealism), and he OWNS them.

I'm not convinced that Obama genuinely believes that tweaking the status quo is really the way to go long term. It's just that, now that he's president, not only a member of the big boys club but its leader, and pretty much set for life (yes, Virginia, we're going to have to endure Obama's patronizing elder statesman centrist policy bloviations for the next 20-30 years, a la Bill Clinton), he doesn't really care, and can easily afford (or so he believes) to prop up this illusion indefinitely. And if it collapses, well, there's always the Obama Presidential Library and the Obama Leadership Institute to hide behind.

I.e. he is a punk. But that doesn't necessarily preclude real progressive reform during his tenure, provided that the true left can figure out how to get him to carry water for us for a change, and not the other way around. He may be a fake progressive, but that doesn't mean that he can stop progressive change.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


I'm with you on the confusion (0.00 / 0)
I used to think that he simply lacked the courage of his convictions, but now I think that he doesn't even have any convictions...

I'm not convinced that Obama genuinely believes that tweaking the status quo is really the way to go long term. It's just that, now that he's president, not only a member of the big boys club but its leader...

I can't help but notice the second sentence sort of contradicts the first, as if you still believe Obama just lacks the courage of his convictions.  I feel the same way, finding it hard to nail down which of the two narratives is correct, constantly changing my mind.  I keep claiming it doesn't really matter, but I sure do spend a lot of time trying to figure it out, anyway.

My best conclusion is that Obama has a different priority system.  Those liberal convictions are there, but they are trumped by the stronger conviction that elite deal making ("consensus") is more important than his own views.


[ Parent ]
I think that the confusion is deliberate (4.00 / 1)
He likes to keep people guessing. When he was still running against Hillary I called him the master of the passive-aggressive mind game. He keeps you guessing as to what he's about, where he's coming from, what he intends to do, always on the defensive, so that when he does do what he ends up doing, you're not ready for it, and he's already working on his next few moves while you're scratching your head trying to figure out the previous one.

At the time, I actually kind of admired him for it, thinking that it would be a great way of confounding the GOP as he ran circles around them, compared to Hillary's you can see it coming for a hundred miles brain dead political style. And in some ways he has used it to run circles around the GOP--in order to help himself and his neoliberal friends in government and the corporate world. I.e. he ended up punking not only Hillary and the GOP, but the left as well.

So I no longer believe that he has any convictions. Not in any deep, real, genuine way. His convictions--and I do believe that he has some--are of the lifestyle & limousine liberal sort, where you say all the right things to your cocktail party pseudo-liberal friends to keep up that liberal street cred, while you (and your friends) proceed to live your lives in ways that directly contradict these alleged beliefs. He's a classic boomer in this sense, holding on to the outwards trappings of liberalism for appearance's and vanity's sake, while actually looking out for #1 and #1's BFF's. He's a slicker and smarter version of the Clintons, basically.

Thing is, he's kind of awakened a sleeping giant, in putting together his center-left coalition, which is expecting results. Even the "It's only been X months/years, give him some time" pseudo-left crowd is going to get upset with him if he fails to deliver on his actual and implied promises. And all those centrists and indies who backed him are also going to be upset with him after all these sweetheart deals with insurers, drug companies and banks. Their patience and faith is not going to last forever, and already it's started to fray.

I think that Obama's basically the next bubble, meant to replace the previous one that was in the process of bursting when he came along like a too good to be true savior. It's only a matter of time before his bubble bursts too. They always do. And when it does, he'll be a lame duck, continuing to make all those disengenuous and patronizing speeches that no one will pay attention anymore (except some Kool Kos Kidz). Unless he wisens up and realizes that the game that he's playing can't go on forever, that he can't keep on punking the center and left to please his corporatist buddies and expect to get away with it.

How a person can be so egomaniacal and continue to get away with it is beyond me. But it can't last forever. It just can't.

"Those who stand for nothing fall for anything...Mankind are forever destined to be the dupes of bold & cunning imposture" -- Alexander Hamilton


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