Online Campaign Metrics

by: Chris Bowers

Mon Oct 15, 2007 at 15:15:38 PM EDT


The Internet is a very, very different medium than television. If you need any proof, check out these numbers for the online portion of the horserace in September:

On the Web, Clinton led in August with 759,000 unique visitors to her Web site, followed closely by Obama with 749,000. John Edwards was third with 448,000 views.

Recent Republican entry Fred Thompon led in page views in August with 410,000 unique visitors, followed by Romney with 291,000 and Paul with 208,000. The worst online showing was for Sen. John McCain (R., Ariz.) with 58,000 hits, and 52,000 for Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D., Ohio). However, McCain leads the presidential field in online advertising, with 4.3 million sponsored links in August, followed by Kucinich with 1.8 million sponsored links.

Clinton continues to lead in "online buzz," which is measured by mentions on blogs. Fred Thompson saw the biggest surge in buzz, up 526%, due largely to his September entry into the race.

McCain is putting down big bucks in online advertising, but it still isn't drawing visitors to his website. This is somewhat odd for a candidate who was one of the first, if not the first, Presidential candidate to raise big money online, and is a testament to how low his image has sunk among internet users in the past eight years. Also, this points to a real problem with online advertising where ads don't necessarily result in click-throughs for the advertiser. Then again, it is possible that McCain would have had virtually no hits at all without his hug online spending spree. It is also interesting just how little traffic all of these websites receive. The Huffington Post surpasses all of these candidate pages every single day.

So, not only are people ignoring paid advertisements, but they are also generally staying away from official channels. These are two empowering aspects of the Internet compared to television. However, they also point to the difficulty of making money online. Marketers are paid to persuade and, in a manner of speaking, control consumers. These numbers indicate that people are extremely difficult to control online, at least when compared to television. Online, the key to a successful online advertisement is to make it seem like it isn't an advertisement at all. Hence, the Googlebomb Rudy Giuliani campaign, which is designed to have individuals run across negative information about Rudy Giuliani on their own, and without any obviously sponsored links. Search engine optimization of that sort is simply a medium appropriate form of negative advertising on Rudy Giuliani, far better than paid links. Instead of simply transplanting television techniques to a different medium, it reinvents them for a new media.

Finally, it is also interesting that Clinton runs neck and neck with Obama in terms of online traffic. Two thoughts come to mind on this. First, that is very different than national polls right now, and thus shows online strength for Obama. Second, that is actually pretty much the same as total donations right now, which simply attests to Obama's well-known activist and donor strength. Still if the only major telecommunications medium we had was the internet, Obama would probably be in a tie with Clinton nationally, and he might be slightly ahead in the two early states. However, for the time being, it is enough for Clinton to remain competitive online, and then swamp the other candidates through other medias.

Chris Bowers :: Online Campaign Metrics
Tags: netroots, President 2008, Googlebomb, Rudy Giuliani, hillary clinton, Barack Obama, media, (All Tags)
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I disagree (0.00 / 0)
Online advertising can be as effective as any other kind of advertising, but the product matters.

McCain is a damaged product, and information elites are more likely to be aware of this.

On the other hand, advertising for products, or for  people or campaigns, that already have good credibility with information elites and opinion makers, or at least neutral reputations, can do very well, depending on the campaign and ad strategy.

I don't think your generalizations about online advertising really hold up to scrutiny.

What's more, the fundamentals of the online advertising world apply to blogs as much as to any other audience concentration site:  you need to 1) demonstrate who your audience is 2) make it easy for buyers to track and measure results and 3) build outreach and relationships with buyers so they have service and personal contact.

Full disclosure:  I am the main advertising person for Firedoglake.

These are potential barriers to entry for blogs since they require some up front investment capital to get started, and also, disposable time and talent to build a client interface operations (sales and service), but that's not just unique to bloggers:  it's a basic of any business startup.

I blog at www.firedoglake.com.


How do the Metrics Work? (0.00 / 0)
This is interesting stuff.  Do you know if a blog mentions on a small trafficked blog is rated the same as a high traffic one?  Can they track click throughs -- such as how many people click a video that someone posts on a blog?


Click throughs. . . (0.00 / 0)
can be tracked for ads placed through an adserver that allows the collection of such data.  However, Blogads, to my knowledge, does not offer any ad tracking services to potential ad buyers.  Buyers, as a result, have no verifiable idea what they're buying, and as a result, Blogads cuts price to such a degree that publishers get much less than their audiences are worth. 

Plus, Blogads has been publicly dishonest about the rates it charges publishers:  just last week, its principle stated at a conference that they charge 20% to publishers as their cut, and that's not true:  they charge 35% to many, though they cut individual deals with different publishers on the sly, using nonstandard rates and playing favorites among publishers. 

Ad agents that provide a valuable service rightly command 35% of sales, but Blogads is substandard in just about every metric you can imagine, and while it charges ad agency rates to publishers, it functions for the vast majority in its network as a glorified shopping cart, passive, no work to measure or demonstrate the verifiable value of the publishers (and audiences) it represents.

But, to your specific questions:  ads get hosted someplace, and typically, publishers provide the infrastructure to allow this (or they buy/subscribe to a service that does this).

If the buyer essentially hosts their own creative content, then they could potentially track their referral metrics from various places the ads are published, but practically speaking, very few may do this.  It's an industry standard for publishers to provide this in a competitive marketplace, bundling the service with options that allow for the rotation of different versions of an ad by the same buyer (so they can track which version works best for larger buys) and also geo-targeting (allowing buyers to buy an ad that is visible, say, to IP addresses from Georgia that log into a given publishing site, paying just for that niche, for example).

As for videos, it's the same principle, and it depends on where the video is hosted.  If it's YouTube, then no, but if it's a video hosted, say, by Comedy Central, and the video can be embedded by publishers, then Comedy Central can potentially track where the clicks are coming from, who's watching, etc, if they embed some kind of cookie with the video.

But all this misses most of the way ad sales works online.  The emergent standard for ad pricing is based on impressions (CPM), which basically gets to how many sets of eyeballs will see the ad.  That's because publishers have relatively less control of clickthrough, as this is a function of the quality of the ad itself, and the degree to which the ad is well targeted to the interests of a site's audience. 

That's why, again, the niche selection of where to run an ad, and how compelling to make the creative content (and how interesting the potential product is . . .  cough, not McCain, cough) all represent critical skills and practices in the industry.

Hope that helps.

I blog at www.firedoglake.com.


[ Parent ]
How "Online Buzz" is Measured (0.00 / 0)
Even though I favor a former Senator and trial lawywer but mention Clinton online, as in this comment, Clinton gets counted for four "mentions" -- all of which may be critical of her -- but my guy gets no credit?  If comments don't count, the same principle would apply to blog posts crtical of Clinton, which seems to pretty much be the norm for Clinton on the "internets".

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