Obama's strategic stupidity in the war on terror

by: Paul Rosenberg

Sun Jan 10, 2010 at 17:00


Salon's front-page subhead for Glenn Greenwalds's mid-week post after the underpants bomb scare, "Craving melodrama", put it perfectly:

The calls for Obama to act with more hysteria and panic every time Al Qaeda sneezes are just plain stupid

The immediate tactical purpose of terrorism is to terrorize.  And every government everywhere in the world understands this.  Responsible governments therefore act to minimize the spread of fear and panic. This is the only play that counters the terrorists' intent.  Only governments who welcome expanded control over a frightened citizenry fan the flames of fear that the terrorists set.  Such governments are in de facto collusion with the terrorists who attack their citizens, whether consciously or not.

So, tactically, Obama understands how to combat terrorism and is interested in doing so, while the GOP, still following the Bush/Cheney line, continues colluding with the terrorists, consciously or not.

Unfortunately, that's as far as it goes. Strategically, there is virtually no difference between Obama and the GOP.  And that's why we're in big, big trouble.

If the immediate tactical purpose of terrorism is to terrorize, the strategic purpose is to initiate a cycle of attacks and disproportionate responses that increasingly angers the terrorists' intended constituency significantly more than the attacks themselves, gradually moving them from near-pariah status to the political vanguard.  This is precisely what al Qaeda has done, first with modest success under Clinton, then with spectacular success under Bush, and now apparently with just as much success under Obama.

Paul Rosenberg :: Obama's strategic stupidity in the war on terror
Dick Cheney's attacks on Obama were particularly instructive, since they are 100% wrong, and thus serve as a perfect reflection on the Looking Glass World of Versailles, and how they are taking us all to Hell in handbasket:

As I've watched the events of the last few days it is clear once again that President Obama is trying to pretend we are not at war. He seems to think if he has a low-key response to an attempt to blow up an airliner and kill hundreds of people, we won't be at war. He seems to think if he gives terrorists the rights of Americans, lets them lawyer up and reads them their Miranda rights, we won't be at war. He seems to think if we bring the mastermind of Sept. 11 to New York, give him a lawyer and trial in civilian court, we won't be at war.

"He seems to think if he closes Guantanamo and releases the hard-core Al Qaeda-trained terrorists still there, we won't be at war. He seems to think if he gets rid of the words, 'war on terror,' we won't be at war. But we are at war and when President Obama pretends we aren't, it makes us less safe. Why doesn't he want to admit we're at war? It doesn't fit with the view of the world he brought with him to the Oval Office. It doesn't fit with what seems to be the goal of his presidency - social transformation - the restructuring of American society. President Obama's first object and his highest responsibility must be to defend us against an enemy that knows we are at war."

The problem, of course, is the exact opposite of what Cheney alleges.  True, Obama has altered the cosmetics.  It's no longer called the "war on terror", but Obama is every bit as committed to the "long-war" worldview as George W. Bush was,  He's escalated the war in Afghanistan twice this year, and now has us fighting in Yemen and Somalia as well.  That's reality.  Hundreds of billions for the de-branded war on terror, and next to nothing for the slowly self-destructing domestic economy. Cheney's fears about Obama purported goal of "social transformation" are about as reality-based as his knowledge of Sadam's WMDs.  And just like those hallucinatory WMDs, those imaginary fears loom far too large in the collective mind of the American media as well.

Indeed, Bush and Obama's state positions on closing Guantanamo and withdrawing from Iraq were virtually identical.  There's a bigger chasm here between Bush and Cheney than there is between Bush and Obama.  And that's a very bad thing that should trouble us all.  Instead, it's virtually unnoticed.  Obama's cosmetics--aided and abetted by Cheney's sideshow histrionics--serve to distract us from this fundamental fact: the continuity of strategic stupidity from Bush to Obama.

Consider Afghanistan.  It's recently been revealed that--surprise! surprise!--we really can't pull a rabbit out of a hat in Afghanistan, because, it turns out, Afghanistan doesn't have any hats.

This is not news.  It's the whole reason we thought we were so clever luring the Soviets into Afganistan in the first place back in 1979: Afghanistan cannot be conquered, it can only make you look bad.

Really, really, really, really, make-Osama-bin-Laden-look-great-by-comparison bad.  And that's what we're doing now.  Bombing civilians, killing women and children, making Osama bin Laden look great by comparison--and making him look right when he says, "They are fighting a war against Islam, and I am defending Islam."

When what you're doing makes a liar like Osama bin Laden look like he's telling the truth, that's a sure sign that what you're doing is wrong.  And not just a crime, but a blunder.

It's fashionable nowadays to say, "Well, what did you expect. After all, Obama said that Iraq was the wrong war, which is why he opposed it, and that Afghanistan is where he wanted to shift the focus."  Any progressives who didn't pay attention to this were simply just fooling themselves, we've been told.

Perhaps.

Or perhaps they simply thought that Obama couldn't possibly be that stupid, and he was just making noise during the campaign to seem tough.  Because, really, what Obama's doing now in Afgthanistan--falling for the same illusion that the Soviets fell for in 1979--is the kind of stupid that folks just didn't see anywhere in his presidential campaign.  It's the kind of stupid that people somehow thought he was incapable of.

Of course, they were wrong.  That much is obvious now.  It's the same kind of stupid we've seen with his backing of the Wall Street Pirates, and his save-the-insurance-companies approach to "health care reform."  It's now quite obvious he's got bottomless reserves of that kind of stupid.  But in 2007 and 2008 people really didn't see that coming.  Even those of us who weren't enchanted with him.

This is Alfred E. Newman stupid.  It is George W. Bush stupid, with a coat of Richard Nixon paint.


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The driving force is Archie Bunkerism in America (0.00 / 0)
the government can either use that for nefarious ends (Cheney),

or find least-worst outlets for it (Clinton, Obama),

but it will be saticficed.

To change this, change the culture.


You ain't kidding (4.00 / 3)
Strategically, there is virtually no difference between Obama and the GOP.  And that's why we're in big, big trouble.

Check out this Alternet story:

http://www.alternet.org/story/...

Sub-heads:
-- U.S. war machine set on kill
-- "Obama seems to have killed more civilians during his first year than Bush did in his first year."

It's a lengthy interview by Democracy Now's Amy Goodman with award-winning investigative journalist and activist Allan Nairn. It's quite good, interspersed with clips of Obama speeches, and eye-opening.

Nairn pulls no punches, he tells it like it is:

I think Obama should be remembered as a great man because of the blow he struck against white racism, the cultural blow. And he accomplished that on Election Day. That was huge. ...

But once he became president, by virtue of his actions, just like every US president before him, just like those who ran other great powers, Obama became a murderer and a terrorist, because the US has a machine that spans the globe, that has the capacity to kill, and Obama has kept it set on kill. He could have flipped the switch and turned it off. The President has -- turned it off. The President has that power, but he chose not to do so.

There's lots more. Very powerful and inspiring to read someone who is totally committed to what he is saying.

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana, The Life of Reason, Volume 1, 1905


I should have added that Nairn's solution to terrorism (4.00 / 1)
is that the U.S. should stop our killing machine.

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana, The Life of Reason, Volume 1, 1905


[ Parent ]
I'm Still Getting Over A Holiday Bug (0.00 / 0)
If I had had more energy, I would have written a separate diary about Nairn's interview.

Thanks for bringing it into the discussion.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Why look for terrorists (0.00 / 0)
when they can spend a zillion searching (grannies) for bombs.  

They're asking for another four years -- in a just world, they'd get 10 to 20. ~~ Dennis Kucinich  

it's not just a dichotomy (0.00 / 0)
It's fashionable nowadays to say, "Well, what did you expect. After all, Obama said that Iraq was the wrong war, which is why he opposed it, and that Afghanistan is where he wanted to shift the focus."  Any progressives who didn't pay attention to this were simply just fooling themselves, we've been told.

Perhaps.

Or perhaps they simply thought that Obama couldn't possibly be that stupid, and he was just making noise during the campaign to seem tough.

There is another possibility: people thought Obama would follow through on his promise to escalate in Afghanistan, and voted for him despite that, as the lesser of two evils, because McCain was an intemperate warmongerer who would have started a war with Iran, while not bothering with such niceties as economic stimulus.


That Certainly Applies To Some (0.00 / 0)
But I wasn't talking about them.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
despite all this emphasis on new security measures-- (4.00 / 2)
has it ever happened that a terrorist has actually been stopped at the airport with a bomb on him, thanks to the new search/security protocols?

Usually either the terrorists are stopped through surveillance and police work, before they can set their plan in motion, or they're stopped on the plane by citizens, or they're not stopped at all.

It seems to me that there's not much evidence that frisking people and doing full-body scans will accomplish anything.

After all, first it was a shoe bomber. Then it was a liquid bomber. Now it's an underwear bomber. Pretty soon, they'll be making us fly naked, without any carry-on luggage, because there's no other way they'll be able to be sure that no one's got a bomb.  


I think that's exactly right (4.00 / 1)
It was a failure of intelligence analysts that the underwear bomber even got as far as airport security - that's what Obama said. We have to give him credit for correctly identifying that in public.

Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

George Santayana, The Life of Reason, Volume 1, 1905


[ Parent ]
Tactics (0.00 / 0)
When addressing the subject of terrorism, Obama should do the manly presidential bit, ie. we'll get them, their days are numbered. The public is then reassured that the president is protecting them. This works with the American public, particularly blue collar types; regarding actual strategy, Obama should go after them in a way that doesn't threaten or seem belligerent to the moslem world. For Democrats to be thrown out of office, all they need to do is continue to speak in technical/legalese language without any emotion. Given the last 40 years, we know how well this works.

This is a false choice (4.00 / 1)
The choice is not limited to Bush style "bring it on" or "technical/legalese language without any emotion."  Obama has shown the ability to speak clearly about progressive American values and how these keep us safe and define who we are - changing them means giving up on what we hold dear and on our greatest strengths as a nation. He hasn't often kept with that, nor have Democrats as a whole made these themes their manta.

Obama kept telling us that this was a battle he looking forward to having, but when it came early in his presidency the WH acted scared of Cheney. That response made them look weak, not the failure to pretend that Cheney was right.

It's not possible to send one message to the American people and another to the world - not anymore.  

Given the last forty years, we know how well appealing to conservative values works for the Democrats too.  

Who are the best keepers of the people's liberties? The people themselves. The sacred trust can be no where so safe as in the hands most interested in preserving it.
James Madison


[ Parent ]
Perhaps (0.00 / 0)
Or perhaps they simply thought that Obama couldn't possibly be that stupid, and he was just making noise during the campaign to seem tough.  Because, really, what Obama's doing now in Afgthanistan--falling for the same illusion that the Soviets fell for in 1979--is the kind of stupid that folks just didn't see anywhere in his presidential campaign.  It's the kind of stupid that people somehow thought he was incapable of.

For myself, this is less about Obama's smarts, and more about the social context. I did not foresee that the citizen mobilization that occurred during the campaign would collapse so completely and so quickly. I did not foresee how little people who supported Obama would get in terms of positions in this White House, and how much would go to Republicans or DLC-Clintonites.  And I did not foresee how the veal pen would bottle up organized liberalism so completely, thereby limiting pressure from the left.  

Of course, these things are not natural - and are partly a product of the choices made by Obama himself, and his appointees.  But I can't tell how much of these choice swere foolish and how much were ideological, nor how much of what has happened since was foreseen before these choices were made.

Who are the best keepers of the people's liberties? The people themselves. The sacred trust can be no where so safe as in the hands most interested in preserving it.
James Madison


Agreed (4.00 / 1)
I would only argue that there's no real difference between ideological and foolish here:

But I can't tell how much of these choices were foolish and how much were ideological,

After all, Obama campaigned relentlessly on the basis of being a pragmatist.  His unspoken ideology of "pragmatism" (pragmatic only for the powers that be) was utterly foolish, given how badly the powers that be had already failed.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Ideology (4.00 / 2)
I think pragmatism was his spoken ideology, while neoliberalism was his unspoken ideology.

Holding onto neoliberalism "given how badly the powers that be had already failed" is certainly foolish. But many do, for they were only really against Bush and the Republicans. And even those who don't are often timid in opposing it. For many others, they don't even see it.  I am heartened by the renewed calls to attend to ideology - they are reminiscent of Lakoff's earlier call that we be explicit about our values. I will be more heartened if it actually happens. (Real pragmatists would understand how important that is, as would people that have a clue about how to win elections, but I digress.) I think ideologies are like scientific theories - no matter how poorly they perform, you can't get rid of one without a decent alternative. I think it exists - but most people are not exposed to to it explicitly.  

Certainly you are right that there is no real difference between these two things - just different paths to the same place.    

Who are the best keepers of the people's liberties? The people themselves. The sacred trust can be no where so safe as in the hands most interested in preserving it.
James Madison


[ Parent ]
Yes. (4.00 / 2)
Only governments who welcome expanded control over a frightened citizenry fan the flames of fear that the terrorists set.  Such governments are in de facto collusion with the terrorists ... whether consciously or not.

And, I cannot articulate how deeply, profoundly and thoroughly I resent this collusion.

Trailing limpidglass, Obama was a "lesser of two evils" vote for me.  His FISA-flop pretty much told me everything I needed to know about Obama and civil liberties, and Obama and the security state.  I encouraged others to vote for Obama for the sake of the Iranians.  

Obama's cosmetics--aided and abetted by Cheney's sideshow histrionics--serve to distract us...

For the conspiracy minded among us, some have speculated that Cheney couldn't possibly lay down better cover for Obama if it had been pre-arranged that he would.


ultimately... (4.00 / 1)
Ultimately, the point of invading Iraq was to establish a permanent military presense in this geopolitically vital part of the world. Initially this was botched when Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Bremer, Chalabi, Allawi et al. created an utter fiasco over there. These clowns almost lost the whole damn circus.  

But that was turned around [sort of] and the U.S. has mnore or less succeeded in doing this. We hear about the upcoming "withdrawal of forces" there. But what does that really mean? When all is said and done we shall see how many troops are still left "to guard the embassy", to "train and assist Iraqi forces" against the bad guys.  

Same with Afghanistan. The point of the invasion was the invasion itself. The point was to establish ourselves permanently in and around Kabul. That hasn't changed. Not with tons and toms of natural resources in South Asia to exploit. And if you understand the bipartisan [Wall Street] agenda that encompasses American imperialism abroad, of course the Obama and Bush Doctrines are interchangable strategically.

Everyone is predicting another Soviet type humiliation for the U.S. over there.

I don't think so. One way or another, America is determined to prevail. With China, India, Brazil etc. making the global economy truly global in extent, the U.S. needs to muscle its way into places where the stuff used to grow the economy is abundantly dispersed. The difference between the Republicans and the Democrats here is that the conservatives want this to be pursued even more agressively.  


Both Obamas are entrenched in the middle class (0.00 / 0)
And this means in terms of values, behavior, dress, thinking, and on and on. They are solidly there even in the way they got a dog, the way she gardens, (the Ozark rednecks are laughing at that) so do not expect any thinking outside the box.

We are stuck with at least 4 more years of this guy who is neither black nor white, who walks a thin boundary line so carefully and invisibly you cannot see or know who he really is. When the wind blows one way he will correct until it blows the other way.

Believe me the repugs have his number loud and clear. They know exactly how to play him. He is their toy.


Institutional stupidity (4.00 / 1)
Or perhaps they simply thought that Obama couldn't possibly be that stupid, and he was just making noise during the campaign to seem tough.  Because, really, what Obama's doing now in Afgthanistan--falling for the same illusion that the Soviets fell for in 1979--is the kind of stupid that folks just didn't see anywhere in his presidential campaign.  It's the kind of stupid that people somehow thought he was incapable of.

The individual, Obama, does not need to express this kind of "stupidity". The governmental system within which he operates can supply all the necessary "stupid".

It is all military, all the time. No other solution will be allowed onto the table. The US is a military power and that is how we deal with the world - at the point of a gun, or by the shadow of a predator. Diplomacy is nothing but window-dressing when another nation has been deemed "enemy".

What other solution would be tolerated by the military/industrial/congressional complex?

I doubt many other folks on this site caught Liz Cheney on CNN yesterday. Look it up. Her "stupidity" went completely unanswerd and unchallenged because she based it all on the most Holy of Institutions: The US Military. Never mind that far more "terrorists" have been prosecuted and legally imprisoned by the criminal justice system than by the military tribunals. No one is allowed to question the righteousness of the US Military. No one.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


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