Sure you've got a Nobel Prize, but are you QUALIFIED???

by: Paul Rosenberg

Mon Oct 11, 2010 at 18:30


Not like Michael D. ["Heck of a job"] Brown[ie]!

In quick hits, Mark Matson notes:

Obama Fed Board Nominee, Whom Republicans Hold Up Due To "Qualifications", Wins Nobel

From Krugman

    My former colleague Peter Diamond, along with Dale Mortenson and Chris Pissarides, has won the Nobel. Richly deserved. The prize is for work on frictions in markets, which is very important stuff; but Peter, an incredibly profound thinker, has done much much more.

    And yes, this is the same Peter Diamond whose nomination to the Fed board has been held up because of Republican doubts about his qualifications.

Here's Krugman's earlier post on the blocking of Diamond:

Peter Diamond, Macro Maven
This is disgusting: Senate Republicans holding up Peter Diamond's nomination to the Federal Reserve Board on the grounds that he may not be qualified to make monetary policy. Aside from the fact that the same Senators cheerfully confirmed Bush nominees who didn't know much about economics of any kind, this is especially stupid right now.

Why? Because right now one of the hot topics is whether the apparent shift in the Beveridge curve signals a rise in structural unemployment - and Diamond wrote the seminal paper on the whole subject - the top result on Google scholar.

Diamond is exactly the man we need - which, given the way things have been going lately, probably means he won't get confirmed.

Update: Some commenters note, correctly, that there's an ongoing dispute over what the rise in vacancies without a corresponding fall in unemployment means. But that's precisely the point: we want Peter Diamond, who pioneered the whole study of this subject, in the Fed, where he can help make sense of the situation.

But there's really not that much new about this.  Republicans have long had contempt for science, and for the Nobel Prize (whether or not you count economics as a "science").  All that's different now is that they fillibuster everyone in sight.  But the Nobel prize is purely an incidental matter so far as that's concerned.

The book Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway is one long horror show of conservative/GOP animosity towards science--often carried out by scientists themselves whose own ideological commitments overwhelmed their common sense and common decency, as well as their grasp of their proper roles as scientists.

Via Brad DeLong, a little more detail on Diamond:

Paul Rosenberg :: Sure you've got a Nobel Prize, but are you QUALIFIED???
Very nice to see:
    Diamond, Mortensen, Pissarides Share Nobel Prize (Update1) . By Rich Miller and Toby Alder

    Oct. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Peter A. Diamond , Dale Mortensen and Christopher Pissarides shared the 2010 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for research into the difficulties of matching supply and demand, particularly in the labor market.

    "This year's three Laureates have formulated a theoretical framework for search markets" such as ones where buyers look for sellers and applicants look for jobs, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which selects the winner, said today in Stockholm.

    Diamond, 70, is a Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor and a candidate for the Federal Reserve Board whose nomination has been held up by Senate Republicans. Pissarides, 62, teaches at the London School of Economics, and Mortensen, 71, is on the faculty at Northwestern University.

    "Peter Diamond has analyzed the foundations of search markets," the academy said. "Dale Mortensen and Christopher Pissarides have expanded the theory and have applied it to the labor market. The laureates' models help us understand the ways in which unemployment, job vacancies, and wages are affected by regulation and economic policy."

    Search theory tries to explain such conundrums as how high unemployment can be accompanied by a large number of job openings. One conclusion is that more generous jobless benefits lead to higher unemployment as those who are looking for work take longer to find it, the academy said.

Right now, the conservative/GOP line is that unemployment is high because millions of people lazy good-for-nothing slobs all at once decided they'd just rather not work, thank you.  And as part of their evidence they point to supposedly otherwise inexplicable gaps in employment.  Diamond is the Man when it comes to explaining such things, as this Nobel Prize now fully confirms.  Since having a rational explaination is the last thing Republicans want in this situation, winning the Nobel Prize makes him even less attractive a nominee than ever before.

If we just let Obama be Obama, he will announce the withdrawal of Diamond's nomination tomorrow.


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I am not sure these are people you waste time fighting (4.00 / 2)
for, Paul.  Their work appears to be designed to show that unemployment insurance and workplace regulation increases unemployment.   This man is a deregulator.  The headline should read, "just because the republicans dislike him doesn't mean he is good," or "the enemy of my enemy is not necessarily my friend."

http://real-economics.blogspot...

My blog  


This Is A Bit Of A Knee-Jerk Response (0.00 / 0)
If you'll recall, I wrote previously about the example of an unemployed man who took advantage of unemployment insurance to hold out for a job that would allow him to keep his house.

That's why the fact that unemployment insurance can increase the amount of time that some folks are unemployed is a good thing.  You don't actually want a labor market to be "efficient" in the simplistic model of markets in general.  Labor markets are different, for very good reason.

Human beings are not like widgets.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
He doesn't appear to think it is a good thing (0.00 / 0)
that they hold out so who cares whether the republicans zap him.  

My blog  

[ Parent ]
Diamond is indeed a scientist paid for shoddy results. (4.00 / 1)
Since Obama's prize, perhaps before, the Nobel is nothing more than a party for Bilderbergers and hangers-on - would-be and wannabe elites.

It's easy to generate job openings for part-time jobs at $7.50, or even $10-an-hour rates without benefits. But who would want them? By his lights, Diamond could produce a job for everyone and they should be forced by market conditions to work for a dollar a day! We've seen this before in arguments against cap and trade as well where elite "scientists" are paid well to contradict the most sensible ideas.

The erroneous conclusion that "generous" unemployment insurance benefits increase the ranks of the unemployed conceals the fact that certain jobs offer little more than make-work and no benefits, and though UI benefits may be less, at least they are stable.

Rather, a newly unemployed person on UI with skills that were previously highly valued does feel that low-wage offers merely reduce their marketability. ("Who would accept such jobs except people who have no skills?" they may ask themselves.) Again, does Diamond really mean we should go back to the days of no UI benefits? We've been there.

Unstable, lower wage jobs also reduce the benefit scale of future benefits. Does that mean that we should abandon UI? Obviously not - we've been down that road, and it's absolutely wrong!

Mr.Diamond looks at quantitative statistics and makes assumptions without analyzing the qualitative factors of individuals' uncertainties, hopes and values. How many newly and long-term unemployed people has he interviewed? How much sense do his conclusions make - unless you are a "scientist" paid to reach such conclusions? The dumbing down of America continues unabated.  

They only call it class war when we fight back.


[ Parent ]
What The FUCK Are You Talking About??? (4.00 / 3)
Seriously, Diamond's work has exactly the opposite thrust of what you are imputing.

Market ideologues claim that markets work perfectly to rationally allocate resources in the most efficient manner.  Diamond comes out of the more empirical tradition of actually looking at data, and seeing how markets actually work, as opposed to the Friedmanite fairy tale.

From Krugman:

So, this line of research concerns the fact that many markets, and above all the labor market, don't fit the classic supply-and-demand paradigm, in which prices quickly rise or fall so as to ensure that everyone who wants to buy finds someone willing to sell and vice versa. Instead, the labor market, or the housing market, is one in which heterogeneous sellers confront heterogeneous buyers, and it takes time and effort to find appropriate matches. That's why the unemployment rate isn't zero at "full employment"; it's why structural unemployment is an issue.

This year's Nobel is for economists who worked out the implications of this observation, both for empirical observation and for policy.



"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3

[ Parent ]
People can't tell the difference (4.00 / 2)
between microeconomic idealism and economic historicism, and it's a real shame.  The latter tradition had a foothold in American public life in the late 19th - early 20th century, but has long since been swallowed up in a sea of ideologically driven, context-free numbers crunching.

Historicism certainly had glaring faults, but it engaged with, took seriously and was therefore enriched by serious left-wing thought and the traditions behind it.  

Peter Diamond is far more a product of the historicist tradition than the Friedmanite Chicago school that people clumsily seem to be associating him with.  


[ Parent ]
Paul, I honestly didn't get that from Brad's essay. (0.00 / 0)
I fastened on this:
One conclusion is that more generous jobless benefits lead to higher unemployment as those who are looking for work take longer to find it, the academy said.


They only call it class war when we fight back.

[ Parent ]
It's Not Surprising (4.00 / 2)
that there's some effect like this.  People do behave differently when they're not forced to the brink of starvation.

But that doesn't mean it's better if they are, just because they take jobs faster.  This should be obvious to anyone who starts thinking about such things, and that's the whole point here--that this sort of economics is based on looking at data and thinking about things, as opposed to living in pure model-land.

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]
Also, don't forget (4.00 / 1)
the amount of crying they did three years ago about Presidential appointees getting 'up or down votes'

Along the lines of Oreskes and Conway (0.00 / 0)
(which I will have to check out), I also recommend Doubt is their product: how industry's assault on science threatens your health, by David Michaels.

Politics is the art of the possible, but that means you have to think about changing what is possible, not that you have to accept it in perpetuity.

All I ca say (0.00 / 0)
Is Obama won this award so I don't give much credibility to it.  

No he did not (4.00 / 2)
Obama got the Peace Prize. Totally different means of determining winner.


"It sounds wrong...
     ...but its right."


[ Parent ]
His Mind Is Made Up (0.00 / 0)
Don't confuse him with facts!

It makes the trolls grumpy, don'tcha know!

"You know what they say -- those of us who fail history... doomed to repeat it in summer school." -- Buffy The Vampire Slayer, Season 6, Episode 3


[ Parent ]




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