Somehow, the Senate Forecast has gotten even better for Democrats. We have gotten closer in Minnesota and Oregon, pulled ahead in Mississippi, and with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell falling behind in a new poll, it is a full-blown Republican apocalypse.
Right now, Democrats lead in five Republican-held seats, and are within 5% or less in another six seats. That presents Democrats with eleven targets that, any other election year, would be considered top-tier challenges. And this is in an environment where the DSCC has a cash on hand advantage of more than $20 million. Sixty Democrats in the Senate, and a filibuster-proof trifecta, is now entirely realistic.
Two weeks ago I counted down the list of top apocalypses. I think that a Republican Apocalypse should actually have been #1. And, if I were to DJ the Republican Apocalypse, somehow I think Psychobilly Freakout by the Reverend Horton Heat just works:
And why is there a Republican Apocalypse? The answer is really, really simple:
The underlying reason that so many Republican seats are at risk is that fewer and fewer Americans consider themselves to be Republicans.
The extended primary will probably net us three or four Senate seats, at least.
* = Pending competitive primary, current primary leader used as placeholder
Dem Cash % = The Democratic cash on hand % relative to the Republican
Update: Oh yeah, Trent Lott left, too. I guess he could see the apocalyse coming. Also, there are only eleven seats where we are either winning, or within 5%, in the polling average. This is earlier in the morning than I usually post. 🙂
